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Hurricane Season - Northern Gulf 97L NHC 50% - Headed Towards NW Gulf Coast

Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:42 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21763 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:42 am


This post was edited on 8/30/26 at 5:27 pm
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
34886 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:45 am to
Isn't it predicted to fade when it makes its northern turn?

Thought I heard Bruce Katz say this..
This post was edited on 8/27/26 at 10:46 am
Posted by FearTheFish
Member since Dec 2007
4566 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:47 am to
quote:

TS Dolly
She's back, ladies and gentlemen
Posted by LivingstonLaw
Livingston County
Member since Jul 2021
3607 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:47 am to
Is Jolene on the list this year?
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
29982 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 10:49 am to
Tell you what…Gulf of America has played some excellent defense against storms so far.

Coach Trump’s decision to put him in the game and bench Mexico has been YUGE so far.
Posted by sonoma8
Member since Oct 2006
8238 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 11:04 am to
Is Dolly producing titty milk?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
131973 posts
Posted on 8/27/26 at 12:16 pm to
Not sure how we can say for sure it’s not a gulf threat based on that track. Any explanation?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21763 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 9:44 am to
NHC has put two 10% on the board.
Posted by Legion of Doom
Old Metry
Member since Jan 2018
5783 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 9:45 am to
Gulf threat can frick right off.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178388 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 9:56 am to
The 20 year olds at NHC definitely named Dolly for a day just so they could have the novelty of naming it Dolly right after Dolly Parton died. Those fish it moved over really needed to be warned.
Posted by geauxtigers87
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2011
27850 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 4:55 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103990 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 6:24 pm to
What’s the odds of getting a TS named Dolly when Dolly Parton dies?

I feel like there’s some obscure bet someone made on an app that just won bank on this
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103990 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 6:25 pm to
Aren’t the storm names decided way before the season starts?
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5197 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 6:33 pm to
Yes we knew these names in January
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13459 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Yes we knew these names in January


The names are actually on a six year name rotation. Unless a name is retired for being a storm of significance, every six years the names repeat. There have been 10 storms name Dolly in the Atlantic. 14 world wide.

In the Atlantic Ocean:

Hurricane Dolly (1953) – strong hurricane that weakened rapidly before passing over Bermuda
Hurricane Dolly (1954) – stayed far from land
Hurricane Dolly (1968) – moved up the east coast of the United States but did not make landfall
Tropical Storm Dolly (1974) – did not strike land
Hurricane Dolly (1996) – made landfall at Quintana Roo, Mexico and again at Tamaulipas, Mexico
Tropical Storm Dolly (2002) – never threatened land
Hurricane Dolly (2008) – Category 2 hurricane that caused $1.5 billion in damage to Texas and Mexico
Tropical Storm Dolly (2014) – made landfall in Mexico
Tropical Storm Dolly (2020) – formed off the coast of the United States as a subtropical depression
Tropical Storm Dolly (2026) – currently active
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48192 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 10:21 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179974 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

NHC has put two 10% on the board.


It’s always 10% before it becomes 90%
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21763 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 10:37 pm to
A pretty good rule of thumb: don't post accounts that post the Canadian model

With that said, conditions do become more favorable for development across the Gulf later next week.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21763 posts
Posted on 8/29/26 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

It’s always 10% before it becomes 90%


That happens for 100% of the systems that develop.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178388 posts
Posted on 8/30/26 at 8:29 am to
quote:

Aren’t the storm names decided way before the season starts?

What does that have to do with naming a wave for 24 hours just so they can get some likes on twitter

Naming the next storm, which was going to be Dolly, the day after she died gets a lot more engagement than doing it a week+ later.
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