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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:31 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:31 am to
quote:

What day SHOULD we expect to have a better handle on...whatever this is? Monday?


Arguably everything but the GFS already has a good handle on it.

We just have to watch for the off chance this isnt a case of the GFS spinning up a phantom storm.
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5990 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:38 am to
Just enough to frick up the NOLA trip for the lsu game
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32783 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:40 am to
Duke what does the latest Euro have? I think the main reason GFS is mentioned so much is because the ease of accessing it via Tropical Tidbits.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 9:54 am to
The Euro just doesnt do anything with it.

At this point, odds are low this one develops. It is just that, if it manages to, its a huge headache for someone New Orleans or west of there.

Tropical Tidbits has a whole lot more Euro products now too. Anyone can use it like they use the GFS.
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
22784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:01 am to
quote:

At this point, odds are low this one develops


I hope you're right.

quote:

if it manages to, its a huge headache for someone New Orleans or west of there.


How about Mexico?
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42889 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:04 am to
Cliffs, is this going to be an issue or will it fad off like other ones we've seen by GFS the last few weeks?
Posted by TheGasMan
Member since Oct 2014
3466 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 10:07 am to
I’m more concerned about the Cape Verde storm.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42889 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:16 am to
Appreciate that....

Regardless, I'd like for both to just dive somewhere else.


Hoping to get back into our house around next weekend or weekend after...

Still haven't been back in Post Ida
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
94784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:29 am to
Happy Laura Day everyone!!

2 years ago today, Laura fricked some shite up and most everyone around here still has PTSD.

Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3756 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 11:55 am to
GFS is Drunk back to Mexico/Texas border as a strong cat 4.
This post was edited on 8/26/22 at 11:58 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:00 pm to
Canadian

Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
22784 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

GFS is Drunk back to Mexico/Texas border as a strong cat 4.




I need to stop looking at that stupid GFS model until Duke tells us to look at it.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:07 pm to
the strength is concerning.

Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11938 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

2 years
quote:

Happy Laura Day everyone!!


And I’m still in a legal battle with insurance… cock suckers
This post was edited on 8/26/22 at 12:23 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50924 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

Tropical Tidbits has a whole lot more Euro products now too. Anyone can use it like they use the GFS.


Sweet. I had not realized this. Very nice to have more access to the Euro now.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:26 pm to

operational not agreeing with ensembles-more clustered over the central and eastern gulf
Posted by Tiger Ike
SW Louisiana
Member since Aug 2013
1667 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

2 years ago today, Laura fricked some shite up and most everyone around here still has PTSD.


The anniversary is tomorrow but the PTSD is real.
Posted by BayouENGR
Seagrove Beach
Member since Nov 2015
2861 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:34 pm to
Dang, those are all storms?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1935 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

Dang, those are all storms?


Focus on the 3 clusters. Only one potential storm may be possible within each cluster.

Variable outcomes are shown within that cluster for the ensembles.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/22 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

operational not agreeing with ensembles-more clustered over the central and eastern gulf


Certainly an uptick in activity associated with this system on the 12z GEFS. The GEFS is a better tool for TCG than the op.
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