re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted by Chad504boy

4 posts

Member since Feb 2005

172447 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:25 pm to GreenRockTiger

Oweo has a message for all:

Posted by TheArrogantCorndog

Highland Rd

Member since Sep 2009

15311 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:26 pm to rds dc

Posted by bobbyleewilliams

Tigertown

Member since Feb 2010

8384 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:29 pm to OchoDedos

quote:
Too much dust

in the wind. Dust is good.

Posted by Drank

Member since Jun 1864

Member since Dec 2012

11544 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:30 pm to rds dc

Posted by Adam4848

Member since Apr 2006

19516 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:30 pm to rds dc

Wild
Caribbean
Autumn
Balcony

???

2 ...

Posted by theunknownknight

Baton Rouge

Member since Sep 2005

59237 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:31 pm to rds dc

My pants are down

My taint is worthy

Posted by Duke

Dillon, CO

Member since Jan 2008

36408 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:32 pm to Adam4848

Western Caribbean

Posted by Clockwatcher68

Youngsville

Member since May 2006

7280 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:33 pm to rds dc

Posted by PhillyTiger90

Member since Dec 2015

11322 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:39 pm to rds dc

Now it’s my turn to worry about breast milk in my freezer this year

Posted by Slagathor

Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny

Member since Jul 2007

38754 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:45 pm to Duke

quote:
Western Caribbean

Autumn Balcony

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

66931 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:45 pm to rds dc

I'll post this here, too.

This deserves posting here:

@TylerWSFA12

quote:
Question for #wxtwitter on this fine Wednesday:

At what point do we at least sort of believe what the GFS is doing?

@backinblack_wx

quote:
Let me help…when there’s broad ensemble support. The gfs has had 16 runs since June 1st where a hurricane has impacted the northern gulf coast outside of 240 hours out. We have had 0 hurricanes impact the northern gulf coast and that includes times of several runs in a row.

Posted by Oates Mustache

Member since Oct 2011

24398 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:47 pm to LegendInMyMind

quote:
broad ensemble support

This also doesn't mean a few members either. I feel like the same theme is repeated every year.

GFS has been horrible this year, especially that far out. Euro has been ok, if not too conservative. Canadian is, well, it's the Canadian. UKMET is doing ok this year, I think.

If ensembles show "broad" support for that Gulf system, I'll start to pay attention.

Posted by Slagathor

Makin' jokes about your teeny tiny

Member since Jul 2007

38754 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:50 pm to Oates Mustache

I'm in a broad ensemble but we just drink wine and pretend to read books... never occurred to us to get into meteorology. Will let you know our forecast soon-ish.

2 ...

Posted by LegendInMyMind

Member since Apr 2019

66931 posts

Posted on 8/17/22 at 3:52 pm to Slagathor

quote:
I'm in a broad ensemble but we just drink wine and pretend to read books... never occurred to us to get into meteorology. Will let you know our forecast soon-ish.

You're just in it for the hodo eating.

2 ...