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re: Hurricane Season - Name Wasters Everywhere and then Some Calm to Start July

Posted on 6/28/22 at 11:22 am to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51716 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 11:22 am to
I figured all of the people here who like to bash NHC and the cone would enjoy reading this:

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 11:24 am to
Hehe. That's why I like to casually throw out that the NHC has decreased the size of the cone for this season due to getting more and more accurate. It always rustles some folks.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40360 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

1. Northern Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure centered over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move slowly westward or west-southwestward and approach the coast of Texas during the next two days. Slow development of the low is possible, and it could become a short-lived tropical depression near the coast before it moves inland. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week. For more information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products issued by your National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40360 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

That's why I like to casually throw out that the NHC has decreased the size of the cone for this season due to getting more and more accurate. It always rustles some folks.


Ive said it before, but the past few years they have been on the money on the track. The intensity, not as much.

It is crazy to look back at the old cones vs what we deal with now.



Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12660 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:28 pm to


Hoping for some rain out of this
Posted by BurningHeart
Member since Jan 2017
10068 posts
Posted on 6/29/22 at 1:53 pm to
Hoping for this crap weather to clear up for the long july 4th weekend.

Either give me 90+ degree clear sunny days or give me 80 degree rainy all day.

But the little showers everyday that for 2 weeks straight make for sweaty, cloudy humid days.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115467 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 4:44 am to
Tejas needs the rain
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33509 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115467 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:06 pm to
you can definitely see the center of circulation at the bottom left
Posted by Areddishfish
The Wild West
Member since Oct 2015
6538 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:20 pm to
The size of the cone hasn't actually changed. They just zoom further away from the map.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9379 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:25 pm to
Will this increase the rain chances for Sela?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Will this increase the rain chances for Sela?

Maybe. As it works it's way on land it will get picked up and drift Eastward. Models vary with how well it holds together as it moves East, and thus how much rain SE LA gets.

NAM:

HRRR:


Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9379 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:40 pm to
Thanks. Looks like Galveston is the bullseye
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33509 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 4:10 am to
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33509 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 4:34 am to
quote:

National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
5am EDT 2 July -- Overnight surface obs, satellite, & radar data indicated Tropical Storm #Colin developed with 40 mph winds.

TS Warnings have been issued for parts of the South & North Carolina coasts as the storm moves NE along the shore this weekend.
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
17609 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 6:25 am to
quote:

Tropical Storm #Colin developed with 40 mph winds.


Junk system. Here we go trying to name everything to get those storm totals up.
Posted by Flavius Belisarius
Member since Feb 2016
990 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Tropical Storm #Colin developed with 40 mph winds.


quote:

Junk system. Here we go trying to name everything to get those storm totals up.


I think it’s more the insurance industry lobbying to get a name attached to every storm so the hurricane/wind storm deductible kicks in. Surprised the invest that hits Houston today didn’t get a name. It’s why I switched from State Farm to USAA.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131597 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 8:58 am to
Assholes snuck this one in

ACE for year still essentially 0
This post was edited on 7/2/22 at 9:12 am
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 9:44 am to
quote:

Junk system. Here we go trying to name everything to get those storm totals up.


Yep. Gotta pump those numbers to get to 20 names. It's BS
Posted by Domeskeller
Astrodome
Member since Jun 2020
9958 posts
Posted on 7/2/22 at 10:00 am to
quote:

I think it’s more the insurance industry lobbying to get a name attached to every storm so the hurricane/wind storm deductible kicks in.


It also fits a climate change narrative.
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