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re: Hurricane Season - No Current Gulf Threats
Posted on 8/16/25 at 8:44 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 8/16/25 at 8:44 pm to LegendInMyMind
I just thought of something. Is that dipshit still on facebook, fear mongering every model run? 
1
Posted on 8/16/25 at 8:51 pm to Oates Mustache
I don't know about on Facebook, but that hack "Wetherman Plus" is still doing his song and dance on YouTube.
Posted on 8/16/25 at 9:10 pm to LegendInMyMind
Euro ensembles for next wavePosted on 8/16/25 at 9:43 pm to lsuman25
Erin will have a big effect on whatever comes of this. The more west Erin goes the slower she’ll be clearing out, which would cause a weakness and draw this wave with her. The more east Erin stays, the faster she clears out thus having minimal effect on this wave.
Posted on 8/16/25 at 10:09 pm to SWLA92
This post was edited on 8/16/25 at 10:33 pm
Posted on 8/16/25 at 10:42 pm to SWLA92
00Z Icon picking up on that wave now
Posted on 8/16/25 at 11:30 pm to LSUDUCKMAN67
quote:
I say Ida came in as a 5. They weren’t able to make the last plane runs bc of mechanical issues
The fact that it did not weaken for a long time after landfill has me wondering. Those Chouest boats were showing some serious winds, but they weren't "calibrated" for official readings.
I do not believe for one moment the "brown water effect" was the case in Ida. It was moving slow, the last flight didn't happen, we had no good data, and it was not weakening for a while.
Posted on 8/16/25 at 11:31 pm to rds dc
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands are getting hit pretty good by Erin’s outer bands.
Posted on 8/16/25 at 11:36 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/16/25 at 11:47 pm to lsuman25
Then the 00z GFS is a lot weaker than the last few runs then exits through the Caribbean and out to the Atlantic
This post was edited on 8/16/25 at 11:49 pm
Posted on 8/17/25 at 7:02 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I don't know about on Facebook, but that hack "Wetherman Plus" is still doing his song and dance on YouTube.
YouTube subscribers and Facebook clicks don’t come unless you scare the schite out of people. That is why they depend on making click bait material.
Posted on 8/17/25 at 7:27 am to SWLA92
quote:
Then the 00z GFS is a lot weaker than the last few runs then exits through the Caribbean and out to the Atlantic
And the next run puts right back in the Gulf at the TX/LA line.
Posted on 8/17/25 at 8:51 am to Tigerfan1274
Labor day weekend to boot
Posted on 8/17/25 at 9:45 am to LSURoss
Death, taxes, and a Louisiana storm labor day weekend or close to it . Please no!
Posted on 8/17/25 at 9:57 am to rds dc
Is Tropical Tidbits a reliable forecasting site? I read about it here awhile back. I'm looking into the week of the 25th and I'm not saying anything.
LINK
Eta. From the dvs, this may be a poor question. Just asking for a friend.
LINK
Eta. From the dvs, this may be a poor question. Just asking for a friend.
This post was edited on 8/17/25 at 10:15 am
Posted on 8/17/25 at 10:09 am to BestBanker
It’s not a forecasting site at all. It simply is a place to view most of the major weather models that forecasters use, combined with their expertise, to formulate a forecast.
That’s why when model runs two weeks out are posted here, the poor bastard posting it gets torn to pieces - because it’s simply a model.
That’s why when model runs two weeks out are posted here, the poor bastard posting it gets torn to pieces - because it’s simply a model.
Posted on 8/17/25 at 10:12 am to TDsngumbo
Thanks.
I read those.
So, it's not considered a "reliable forecast", just one of many modeling sites.
quote:
That’s why when model runs two weeks out are posted here, the poor bastard posting it gets torn to pieces - because it’s simply a model.
I read those. So, it's not considered a "reliable forecast", just one of many modeling sites.
Posted on 8/17/25 at 10:16 am to BestBanker
Two weeks ago. What is now Erin was being thrown into the Gulf anywhere from Houston, NOLA, and south Florida. Now it’s not even going to hit land. Can’t really put much stock into them until the runs become consistent from one run to another. Even then, can’t really be confident until multiple models show similar things consistently.
This post was edited on 8/17/25 at 10:17 am
Posted on 8/17/25 at 10:16 am to TDsngumbo
The guy running the site does some analysis and forecasting though. I think he does some of it on YouTube and Twitter. I vaguely recall he even responded to some comments from
a TD user.
He’s got real credentials though including a PhD and doesn’t doomcast on runs two weeks later.
a TD user.
He’s got real credentials though including a PhD and doesn’t doomcast on runs two weeks later.
This post was edited on 8/17/25 at 10:17 am
Posted on 8/17/25 at 10:17 am to Keys Open Doors
Right, but that doesn’t make tidbits a “forecasting” site.
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