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2
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:18 pm to Duke
Should I load up a barrel with fuel?
Worst case scenario, from what it seems, is power down for two days. That seem right? I can't see much worse from 80mph winds
Worst case scenario, from what it seems, is power down for two days. That seem right? I can't see much worse from 80mph winds
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:19 pm to Chad504boy
It means surge won't be as bad as a slow moving and already developed storm.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:19 pm to Chad504boy
In terms of surge, a fast mover is better. Less time for the winds to build up forward momentum in the accompanying water. Of course storm size and wind direction for a location matter as well.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:21 pm to Hammertime
quote:
Should I load up a barrel with fuel?
Ain't a bad idea. I've already done so and I'm in BR. That's more an abundance of caution thing here. Worst case, you've got gas for the mower for a good bit of spring.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:22 pm to slackster
quote:
clear though, Nate turning into a major storm is still unlikely at this point.
Only way I see that possibly occurring is if it misses the yucatan. Right now center of the cone has it going over the tip of the yucatan.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:30 pm to deltaland
quote:
Only way I see that possibly occurring is if it misses the yucatan. Right now center of the cone has it going over the tip of the yucatan.
The NHC forecast takes it over the Yucatan for 6 or less hours, so I'm not sure how much the Yucatan will really hurt it.
The most pivotal time frame will likely be from midnight tonight to tomorrow evening. If it has gotten it's act together from a structural standpoint in that time, even if the winds haven't increased much, there might be issues when it reemerges in the GOM.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:33 pm to rds dc
Welp I need to evacuate.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:33 pm to rds dc
I wonder if it will keep shifting west. So far it has. But where it's showing to come through La south of New Orleans would mean Baton Rouge wouldn't feel anything too strong. It would be windy and rainy but nothing terrible on that side of a minimal hurricane.
If it keeps shifting west and makes landfall around from Intracoastal City to Franklin south of Lafayette it would come up right through Baton Rouge with the northeast motion it will have.
If it keeps shifting west and makes landfall around from Intracoastal City to Franklin south of Lafayette it would come up right through Baton Rouge with the northeast motion it will have.
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 4:36 pm
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:34 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Thanks Mitch. I guess we should all feel better now.
Mitch is a bitch. Has he fixed the pumps yet? Didn't think so.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:36 pm to rds dc
quote:
Some recent convection firing around the llc
All dry here about a mile from Post Office Rd.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:36 pm to tgrbaitn08
lol he and O can get together to hope and pray
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:38 pm to The Boat
quote:
I wonder if it will keep shifting west. So far it has.
18z GFS is running now and it's currently east of the 12z run.
ETA - and slightly faster.
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 4:39 pm
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:40 pm to GEAUXT
Mitch Landreiu on Hurricane Nate “it’s in God’s hands, there’s nothing we can do except not drive through flooded underpasses”
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:44 pm to rds dc
I sure hope N.O. got their pumps fixed finally.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:44 pm to slackster
Currently not liking the progression of that ULL rolling SW in the Bay of Campeche. That sets up far enough SW and it'll start to pull some shear off Nate tonight into tomorrow and act to ventilate Nate as he rolls up the gulf.
That's certainly not the only factor at play, but worth keeping an eye on.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:45 pm to Duke
I suggested to the guys at Radarscope that they integrate offshore bouy data into their app. That was when Harvey was out by the islands. They said they were gonna get on it
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:46 pm to TDFreak
Slightly weaker, slightly east of the 12z run.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 4:48 pm to TDFreak
They can say that 92% are fully operational, but what that means IRL is that 64% are fully operational
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