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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:29 am to deuce985
How far out does tNWC issue tropical storm and hurricane watches?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:30 am to deuce985
Well shitty fricking kitty.
Pray for no RIE and another US major metro area under the gun.
Mitch better fix those pumps baws.
Pray for no RIE and another US major metro area under the gun.
Mitch better fix those pumps baws.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:31 am to NOLA Brew Bus
Watches are 48 hours out, warnings are 36.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:37 am to rds dc
Just want the rain.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:39 am to 50_Tiger
It says a lot about their confidence in the GFS if they're ignoring it in their advisory tracks. As Duke said, they probably realize it exaggerates a lot and it's really hard to argue against the Euro considering how accurate it has been this year. It has been by far the best computer model. If it starts to shift west you have a problem. It tends to pick up trends faster than the other computer models too or at least it seems that way based on what I've seen in this season.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:46 am to GetCocky11
My personal uneducated opinion which means nothing is it's going to hit around the Miss/Bama border. I think she wants to make the entire Gulf Coast feel it this year.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 11:46 am
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:13 pm to deuce985
Thats a pretty damn narrow cone for 5 days
Bold stuff NWS
Bold stuff NWS
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:18 pm to Black
quote:
I just need to know if i'll be able to fish this weekend.
Maybe in your living room, based on this past season.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:19 pm to Cosmo
This system is really hauling arse to hit by Sunday. I forgot today is Thursday...jeez. It really flies starting tomorrow which is good because it's going to flow right over the warmest water tomorrow.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:20 pm to deuce985
it’s wednesday broseph
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:21 pm to deuce985
quote:
I forgot today is Thursday.
?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:21 pm to deuce985
quote:
I forgot today is Thursday
DON'T TEASE ME LIKE THIS
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:22 pm to Duke
quote:
interesting if our future Nate misses interaction with Central America. Shear maps appear favorable for the next few days. Some hints that he'll get a little upper level help to vent and the warmest water any tropical system has had to work with this year.
It organized much faster than originally anticipated. If it hits TS status today and misses any landfall it's going to blow up quickly IMO. Low shear and water this warm will feed this thing with the quickness.
Then if it misses the yucatan we better start praying that front gets here in time
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:23 pm to tilco
Ugh...yeah. I need coffee.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:27 pm to rds dc
956mb is strong Cat 2 no?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Rapid Intensification would be a 35 mph increase in winds in a day or they also consider about a 40 mb drop in a day.
That seems unequal considering if TD16 increased by 35mph it's a TS at 70. But if it dropped 40mb to 965mb it's a weak cat 3
Posted on 10/4/17 at 12:29 pm to deltaland
So do we start talking about effects on the LSU/Florida game now? 
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