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Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:10 pm to doublecutter
quote:
I lived off E Terry between Old 41 and I75 in the early to mid '90s. I haven't been back there since, about 30 years, so I know it must have changed tremendously. Back then, east of 75 was all woods/ rural land.
Dang, you were in our woods. It was very rural, East of 75. It is changing, quickly. Bonita Beach Road, East of 75 is nothing but gated communities. So glad to have avoided living in one of those. May Milton not bring too much flooding on the Imperial.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:10 pm to LegendInMyMind
This is going to be some white knuckle shite waiting for the dry air and shear to disrupt this hours before landfall.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:14 pm to TheOcean
quote:
treets are already flooded and drainage ditches are overflowing already in Venice. Not good
They had torrential down pours Thurs and Friday. Streets and garages flooding very easily.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:15 pm to rds dc
I have an uncle and aunt that live about twenty miles east of Homosassa and my cousin and their family live in Land O' Lakes. It looks like they're about to take it up the arse. Both have whole house generators and will likely refuse to leave. How stuffed are they?
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:16 pm to Duke
Agreed Duke. I’m in Madeira Beach and we are all on edge again. Shutters completed on the downstairs portion today. My house FF is 21’ 4” and it’s less than 10 years old. I’m confident in our spot but white knuckles for sure.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:22 pm to Hog Zealot
I do want to note, while the winds should be dropping quickly, its not going to just lose all the water it is pushing ahead of it.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:24 pm to Duke
quote:
This is going to be some white knuckle shite waiting for the dry air and shear to disrupt this hours before landfall.
Unfortunately, we've seen models be too quick with the degradation of landfilling hurricanes in the last several years. We need the process to start well out in the Gulf since there is no room for error.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:24 pm to Duke
Two storms have been avoided because of timely cold fronts, we're very fortunate.. 
God Speed Florida...
God Speed Florida...
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 2:25 pm
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:39 pm to Duke
I’ve got to be honest, if I were a TGH employee, these wouldn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:40 pm to ColoradoTiger1987
quote:
I live in St.Pete in a high rise so we won’t get flooded, but could be stranded
How high is the parking garage?
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:50 pm to Duke
quote:
I do want to note, while the winds should be dropping quickly, its not going to just lose all the water it is pushing ahead of it.
Yea that’s my concern. If this thing runs into Tampa, the biggest factor in catastrophic damage I assume will be surge and flooding.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:16 pm to ned nederlander
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:17 pm to FreezingBitches
quote:
How often do Hurricanes dorm off Mexico and take a direct easternly path?
This seems odd
But it's just a "coincidence"!!
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:18 pm to Hangit
quote:
How high is the parking garage?
8 stories and covered. Just have to worry about power outages, but we are on the same grid as John Hopkins.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:21 pm to liz18lsu
quote:
I am now in Bonita
Stay safe. We got the hell out of Naples after Ian. That was enough for us. We have a friend on what I call the fingers on Naples Bay. He's taken 4' or more of water in his house 4 times since Ian and it looks like he's in for it again possibly.
He needs to do a teardown and put his house on stilts but he's stubborn. He has the money to do it.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:22 pm to rds dc
Who came up with idea to name these storms
It’s like they take on their own personality
Just call it a hurricane and be done with it
No names necessary
It’s like they take on their own personality
Just call it a hurricane and be done with it
No names necessary
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:23 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
Who came up with idea to name these storms
The insurance companies, of course.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:25 pm to rds dc
quote:
Unfortunately, we've seen models be too quick with the degradation of landfilling hurricanes in the last several years.
We have but when I think of the cases where this has happened and the cores were larger.
Like you said, zero margin for error given the expected timing. Id be preparing like a 4-5 was coming and hope like hell the dry air wins the battle by landfall.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 3:42 pm to Lou Pai
quote:quote:
How often do Hurricanes dorm off Mexico and take a direct easternly path?
This seems odd
But it's just a "coincidence"!!
Its not odd. Its happened several times. Especially this late in the season. Nobody is creating and steering the hurricanes.
ETA:
quote:
since 1851 [when reliable data collection began], there have been 14 hurricane formations in the Gulf of Mexico that then tracked eastward and made landfall in Florida. It happened in the years 1852, 1859, 1867 (“Galveston”), twice in 1871, 1873, 1877, 1888, 1920, 1924, 1945 (“Outer Banks”), 1950 (Love), 1953 (Hazel) and most recently in 1998 (Earl).
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