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re: Hurricane Isaias - Pensacola Beach to Navarre Beach Under the Gun
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:48 am to East Coast Band
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:48 am to East Coast Band
quote:
Yes, some afternoon storms can be serious
This is true, but they only last about 10 minutes.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:48 am to rds dc
Barometric pressure staying steady if not marginally strengthening though. Most recent pass was 959mb, with passes prior to that in this mission being 960, 959, 962, and 964 (in reverse order). Certainly reflective of a healthy core. Also there’s some new firing of convective bursts in the western and eastern eyewall.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:49 am to LSU=Champions
All hail Google AI weather storm forecaster
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:50 am to Chad504boy
From now on, that's my go-to model to pay attention to 
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:51 am to lsupride87
quote:
Pretty much everything points to a strong 2 or weak 3 at landfall
Dang, was hoping this thing would weaken a lot today.
Still tracking for deluge in Lexington on Saturday night? Or too early to call that?
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:51 am to TDsngumbo
Who sings the song “nothing else materrrssss”
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:52 am to TDsngumbo
The posts people had on Monday Google showed into Pascagoula.
It is good, but was it really that much better?
It is good, but was it really that much better?
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:53 am to fightin tigers
quote:
The posts people had on Monday Google showed into Pascagoula. It is good, but was it really that much better?
No. Google was 1000 models. Many of which were well east of Panama City and some of which were in Alabama/ Miss. I don’t see how anyone can consider it conclusively better.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:53 am to rds dc
Shear is trying hard...looks like south of Lafayette is leading edge of stronger shear. outflow curve is almost vertical over Plaquemines Parish.


Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:55 am to baldona
Now where was there singular main forecasted track?
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:55 am to baldona
quote:
The posts people had on Monday Google showed into Pascagoula. It is good, but was it really that much better?
No. Google was 1000 models. Many of which were well east of Panama City and some of which were in Alabama/ Miss. I don’t see how anyone can consider it conclusively better.
In comparison to like the Euro? GDM kicked its arse.
Hell the ICON kicked King Euros arse this go round
This post was edited on 10/9/26 at 8:56 am
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:56 am to CatfishJohn
quote:
National media this morning (I'm in East TN) was sky screaming about this being one of the worst storms to ever hit the gulf coast.
fricking idiots
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:57 am to LSU=Champions
quote:
arometric pressure staying steady if not marginally strengthening though. Most recent pass was 959mb, with passes prior to that in this mission being 960, 959, 962, and 964 (in reverse order). Certainly reflective of a healthy core. Also there’s some new firing of convective bursts in the western and eastern eyewall.
Yeah, it is still putting up VHTs, which can fight back against the shear.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:58 am to MKP2004
I've been working with clients in the storm path on IT readiness. Most are not too concerned, especially if you're not right on the beaches. Power loss is a potential issue, but most of my clients have servers in data centers and should be affected.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:59 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
Shear is trying hard...looks like south of Lafayette is leading edge of stronger shear. outflow curve is almost vertical over Plaquemines Parish.
That's one of the better satellite visualizations of a surging trough you're going to find. Clearly visible advancement.
Nice find!
This post was edited on 10/9/26 at 9:00 am
Posted on 10/9/26 at 8:59 am to NorthEndZone
NEZ, that’s a good view of the battle between the wind shear and dry air pushing in from the west and the core attempting to wrap convection around and warm eye. That wobble at end of the loop looks to me like the shear might just finally be making its biggest impact yet.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:01 am to NorthEndZone
Is there a wind chart, how far do the hurricane force winds extend out?
Thanks
Thanks
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:01 am to AUVet21
quote:
What I always think about with these storms is how bad these things must have been for the people on the coast 100-200 years ago when there were minimal warnings
This is what I think about as well..
And dummies complain about meteorologists today
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:02 am to NorthEndZone
I'll give Isaias credit, he's putting up a hell of a fight considering the dry air to the west and the shear. I thought no way in hell it makes it to a major. Hopefully it's maxed out and weakening starts soon.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:05 am to speedbump032
The hurricane force winds are only within about 30 miles of the center.


This post was edited on 10/9/26 at 9:07 am

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