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re: Hurricane Isaias - Pensacola Beach to Navarre Beach Under the Gun

Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 pm to
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13285 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

Are you kidding me right now! Pensacola Beach, Florida


I'm on the coast a few hour drive east of Pensacola, and it was raining buckets at sunset.

Nobody in the rural coastal area where I live gives a damn about this storm. But at the Walmart inland, in the closest thing to a city we have, it was panic buying and businesses shutting down. Just insane. We've had some hurricane damage several times recently, but this one won't be another. And as usual, it's the people safely inland that are losing their minds.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76994 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

May be a dumb question but what effect/affect/impact does a weakening storm have on storm surge as the storm nears landfall?

It probably won't make a whole lot of difference given how close to landfall it could be when that rapid weakening would occur. All that energy has to go somewhere.
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
8015 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:12 pm to


Ft Morgan tonight.
Posted by Tyga Woods
South Central Jupiter Island, FL
Member since Sep 2016
43339 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

He isn’t all that big, but he’s looking pretty damn good,


twss
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
52516 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

May be a dumb question but what effect/affect/impact does a weakening storm have on storm surge as the storm nears landfall?

I’m not going to pretend to know the complexities of that, but when a hurricane weaken the wind field actually expands so that’s something to note.
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16687 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

lsumailman61


Apparently I should've joined USPS

I picked the wrong federal workforce
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4393 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:23 pm to
GoogleAI seems to have tweaked this a bit more east, landing in Navarre.

It seems to think it’ll flirt with cat 3 a bit before shear takes back over
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36549 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Isaias is probably having its best run so far, and there is no recon to be found


Always...

Seriously, when can we get like 10 drones to circle the eyewall 24/7?
Posted by Craft
Member since Oct 2019
1370 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:25 pm to
that original track wasn’t even close
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17456 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

If anyone else here is in the area, please be safe. If you need a hot meal, we’ll see you Saturday morning.


And starting Sunday we should be somewhere helping with meals. May go back to Lillian AL… that’s where we got our start (with Sally).

Lots of changes since then. We plan to leave Tuscaloosa early Sunday. Still not certain where we go since we need to know where most need is.

Insert: coach O “we comin”.
Posted by PGAOLDBAWNevahBroke
Member since Oct 2025
868 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:28 pm to
50-60 mph when it hits PCB projected…meh
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
32462 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

And starting Sunday we should be somewhere helping with meals. May go back to Lillian AL… that’s where we got our start (with Sally).

Lots of changes since then. We plan to leave Tuscaloosa early Sunday. Still not certain where we go since we need to know where most need is.

Insert: coach O “we comin”.
quote:

If anyone else here is in the area, please be safe. If you need a hot meal, we’ll see you Saturday morning.
Thanks to you guys for all you do to help folks in need. Seriously man you’ve always been on point and in action when these storms hit. God bless and stay safe out there.
Posted by Zapps4Life
Houston
Member since May 2016
462 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:33 pm to


Nice outer feeder band setting up southward towards/over the Yucatán Peninsula
Posted by Zapps4Life
Houston
Member since May 2016
462 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:37 pm to
Heading towards slightly higher sea surface temperatures as well…

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
133437 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

that original track wasn’t even close


Original center line now completely out of cone
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15601 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

50-60 mph when it hits PCB projected…meh


Where did you see that, please. There is no way. PCB gets worse that that in summer storms
Posted by FutureMikeVIII
Houston
Member since Sep 2011
1880 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

Original center line now completely out of cone


But this track is within the original cone…which is how it works
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
7153 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

Original center line now completely out of cone


That tends to happen as the cone shrinks.
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
8602 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

And starting Sunday we should be somewhere helping with meals. May go back to Lillian AL… that’s where we got our start (with Sally).

Lots of changes since then. We plan to leave Tuscaloosa early Sunday. Still not certain where we go since we need to know where most need is.


God bless y’all.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
57795 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

Imo some people are gonna wake up tomorrow to an oh shite moment.

That being said, every model out there makes it look like he hits a brick wall once he comes onshore, so the damage will be isolated, but whereever he lands is gonna make people wish they had left.


I was fully committed to riding this thing out. Now you are making me think about things.
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