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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/8/26 at 8:59 am to
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45997 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 8:59 am to
quote:

Tell that to those of us who experienced Betsy and Camille

Class is dismissed ....


Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22620 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 8:59 am to
Dropsonde on this pass clocked pressure at 979mb, which is higher than the pressure clocked on first pass about an hour and half earlier at 978mb.

The strongest 10s flight level winds in NE eyewall on this pass were similar to those found in the SE eyewall on first pass.

Pressure and winds stable for now. With structure closing off, expect we’re going to ramp up intensity here over next 12h.
Posted by jfan244888
Soda City, SC
Member since Jul 2021
1244 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:00 am to
Thank goodness for shear near landfall . Will still be pushing a lot of water.

Still expected max out at cat 2 right?
Posted by LSUDUCKMAN67
DTB
Member since Sep 2020
1736 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

Cantore is in Pensacola Beach


The Angel of Darkness has Arrived!
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
62127 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

recent trend of rapid intensification,


Please tell us more about this.
Posted by Hobie101
Member since May 2012
1323 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:01 am to
quote:

We found someone that still worships at the altar of climate change.

Smarten up:


Oh boy.
No offense friend, but temperature is a simple measurement.
Take the average temperature and compare it to the average temperature from previous years, and it is going up at an increasing rate.

The evidence is overwhelming and educated people accept it.
Go to your favorite AI chat for more info.
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
95029 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:02 am to
quote:

The evidence is overwhelming and educated people accept it.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88519 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:04 am to
Easily manipulated, you.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52431 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Oyster, the "S" at the coast tells me you still have a chance to win this bet. If it goes ashore as a Tropical Storm, does that mean RDS has to suck your dick?


Hey hey hey hey... that's not the rule and you know it!
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
27053 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:06 am to
Appropriate punishments MUST be meted out here. To the bet welsher....his screen name needs to be amended to suck or blow, something. He cannot be allowed to go unpunished.

The Climate Sheep? A Sheep Avatar of course.
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
19110 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 am to
agree with TDs - sorry opb
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6661 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

(Hurricane) Frederick…


In addition to the intense wind, there was tremendous storm surge on the western end of Santa Rosa Island. Most of the old beach houses on the eastern part of Pensacola Beach made it through the storm, but the road out to Ft. Pickens on the western end was washed away in several places between the entrance to Gulf Islands National Seashore and Langdon battery. Additionally and more strikingly, the ancient 15’ to 20’ sand dunes with small trees growing out of them were washed away. Fifty years later that stretch of beach looks much different than it did pre-Frederick. (Of course, Ivan repeated the effects in 2004.)
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44154 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

I mean, it's obvious if you've been paying attention to these storms that RI is more prevalent and one of the main causes is warmer waters, and living in Central Florida I can attest it's getting hotter and hotter every year, but here's one of many articles on it. That I'm sure you won't read.





Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
8597 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:08 am to
quote:

The evidence is overwhelming and educated people accept it. Go to your favorite AI chat for more info.


Al Gore and pals love that sentiment. Keeps their portfolios nice and fat.

Also, GIGO.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14771 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:09 am to
Latest hurricane model runs (max winds and lowest pressure at model increment just before landfall)

HMON - 115 mph and 961 mb at 7 PM Friday - Navarre Beach (peak of 947 mb and 125 mph)

HAFS-A - 85 mph and 981 mb at 10 PM Friday - Orange Beach (peak of 955 mb and 135 mph)

HAFS-B - 90 mph and 975 mb at 7 PM Friday - Gulf Shores (peak of 954 mb and 120 mph)

HWRF - 105 mph and 964 mb at 7 PM Friday - Gulf Shores (peak of 953 mb and 120 mph)

This is just one run and subject to change. Cat 1 to Strong Cat 2 from these models.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180867 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:12 am to
sicboy has really been doing his temperature change research say for the last 21 years over the span of earth's 4.54 billion years.


that is this % of the time period.
4.62555066 × 10-7%
21 is 4.62555e-07% of 4.54 billion
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44154 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Oh boy.
No offense friend, but temperature is a simple measurement.
Take the average temperature and compare it to the average temperature from previous years, and it is going up at an increasing rate.

The evidence is overwhelming and educated people accept it.




Another sucker is born.
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
27053 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:12 am to
quote:

The evidence is overwhelming and educated people accept it. Go to your favorite AI chat for more info
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22620 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:13 am to
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44154 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:14 am to
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