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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:17 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:17 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Six hourly upper-air soundings began at 1800 UTC today over the
central United States to better sample the upstream mid-latitude
trough. In addition, the NOAA G-IV aircraft is currently sampling
the environment around Irma, and these data will be included in
tonight's 0000 UTC model runs
Maybe more important than the G-IV data is the upstream 18z special soundings. I would've tasked the NW offices as well. Huge data dump for 00z models.
1
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:17 pm to AU24
2 Cat 4 Hurricanes hitting the US in the same year is very possible. I still feel like this is going into GOM on Panhandle side.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:17 pm to LaBR4
quote:
BREAKING: Florida governor declares state of emergency to allow the state to prepare for possible hit from powerful Hurricane #Irma.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:19 pm to LaBR4
She looks like she would be down for dirty things
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:19 pm to AU24
Good idea by Gov Scott. Gives you ~5 days to prepare. I'm worried about FEMA being stretched thin.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:21 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
I am triggered as frick by Irma.
Florida is so fricked
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:21 pm to AU24
The trend:
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:23 pm to Rakim
quote:
Florida is so fricked
Well I hate to say "hopefully", but geez that track keeps shifting more and more uncomfortably towards Louisiana.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:23 pm to Rakim
I have to imagine if this thing happens to hit near NOLA (nothing shows that as of yet, though) levees would fail or overtop again. Can you imagine another Katrina situation there just 12 years later? Regardless of where it ultimately goes, this will be a historic event that most people alive today haven't seen. Prayers for everyone involved.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:24 pm to rds dc
quote:
Huge data dump for 00z models.
I have a lot of data I need to dump
sorry... lunch was taco bell
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
The trend is moving it more West?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
What scares me so much is all the people in the know continually staring how complex the weather pattern is, and how difficult it is to predict what Irma is going to do.
Meanwhile, she just keeps pushing further and further west. Maybe I'm just paranoid, but I have very little faith in the models right now with how much they keep changing.
Meanwhile, she just keeps pushing further and further west. Maybe I'm just paranoid, but I have very little faith in the models right now with how much they keep changing.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:25 pm to SomethingLikeA
quote:
The trend is moving it more West?
It has been moving more to the west it seems with every single model run. I fear this is going to go into the Gulf and become a catastrophic storm.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:26 pm to RollTide1987
That's what is scary. 3 days ago it was 0.1% chance hitting Louisiana. Now, even it's only 10%, it gets frustrating.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:26 pm to RollTide1987
plane NOAA2 (mission 5) looks like it has penetrated Irma 
hopefully dropsondes will start falling
hopefully dropsondes will start falling
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:26 pm to TDsngumbo
My Gf having lived through Katrina and last year's flood, I'm seriously concerned about her mental wellbeing if this comes anywhere close to Louisiana.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:27 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
I have to imagine if this thing happens to hit near NOLA (nothing shows that as of yet, though) levees would fail or overtop again. Can you imagine another Katrina situation there just 12 years later? Regardless of where it ultimately goes, this will be a historic event that most people alive today haven't seen. Prayers for everyone involved.
Not to mention that Everyone's already donated to Houston, so at best Nola would get the leftover scraps of B-list celebs.
And I'm pretty sure the Cajun Navy isn't gonna rescue a bunch of 9th ward hoodrats that are gonna shoot at them.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:28 pm to fr33manator
KB will have to lash all her yoga mats together to make a raft
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:28 pm to RollTide1987
quote:
It has been moving more to the west it seems with every single model run. I fear this is going to go into the Gulf and become a catastrophic storm.
It's going to be catastrophic either way. People die and lose everything no matter where it hits now. Cubans, Floridians, Gulf Coast....only losers in this scenario.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 4:29 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
levees would fail
The MRGO is closed and they did put gates at the mouths of the outlying canals with the pumps... So hopefully this will be prevented...
And the locks at Seabrook are finally finished...
Jefferson Parish has strong houses at every pumping station, so the Broussard cluster frick will be avoided...
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 4:35 pm
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