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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:17 pm to
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26159 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:17 pm to
Those poor people!!

Posted by Cooter Davenport
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2012
9006 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

Why they haven't already is mind boggling.


It's because if they go contraflow they can't get any more gas trucks south down the highway. Everyone would get stranded on the highway as loads of people ran out of gas and no one could get around them. Basically, after further review, the idea of contraflow, in Florida (where apparently all the gas has to be trucked south), was not a workable solution to begin with.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 8:19 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

quote:
possibly turn back into the Atlantic..


It was barely off the coast of Africa when this was the mode


There is a reason people in NC & SC were nervous. There were numerous model runs that took it from Miami and then back out in the Atlantic with a 2nd landfall as far north as the Mid Atlantic.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

It's because if they go contraflow they can't get any more gas trucks south down the highway. Everyone would get stranded on the highway as loads of people ran out of gas and no one could get around them. Basically, after further review, the idea of contraflow, in Florida (where apparently all the gas has to be trucked south), was not a workable solution to begin with.
Ahh, this is good to know. Thanks for the explanation!
Posted by baobabtiger
Member since May 2009
4952 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:20 pm to
Warmer

See for yourself. Also the hurricane will strengthen as it gets past Cuba and the keys and back into open water.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:20 pm to
quote:

quote: Looks like everything outside of I-75 south of Ft. Meyers will be under water

If this will be true, my uncle and cousin in cape coral will be dicey at best.


Check out the NHC Inundation Map. Cape Coral actually looks pretty good, considering the circumstances. Areas of Sanibel and Ft Myers Beach are in real trouble.
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26159 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:21 pm to
It should have still been done for non major arteries.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177206 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:21 pm to
Greatest town name in the US is Punta Gorda. Learned that one during Charley.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:21 pm to
Anderson Cooper, "Resources must be spread thin?

CNN reporter in DC saying the, "Federal Response is ready, just every need won't be met."

Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16879 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

There is a reason people in NC & SC were nervous. There were numerous model runs that took it from Miami and then back out in the Atlantic with a 2nd landfall as far north as the Mid Atlantic.
Yep Wed morning GFS had it going thru North Myrtle in the morning and Savannah later that day. But the GFS was always further east and has only recently caught up with the euro
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:22 pm to
Damn the weather channel is cold, they just rolled up to a 70 year old dude showed him pics of the island destruction and said "do you wish you'd tried to leave earlier?"
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

Could that weaken it enough to counter any strengthening it will do before it hits the keys?



If it heads at that trajectory it is certainly plausible. Skirting Cuba wouldn't do much, but taking it on full force would be a different story.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:22 pm to
quote:


For those curious, go back and read the early pages in this thread to get a feel for how fricking complicated it was and sit in awe that our computers and forecasters got as close as they did six or seven days ago.




The NHC absolutely dominated the track up to this point and that was also very tricky given the large scale setup across the Atlantic. The north turn has always been not much better than guessing and the NHC hasn't had to shift that much. Overall, great job by the best.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

Damn the weather channel is cold, they just rolled up to a 70 year old dude showed him pics of the island destruction and said "do you wish you'd tried to leave earlier?"



Hahah I just saw that. It's true though.
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:24 pm to
Yea but that's like asking saban if he wishes he would have elected to punt right after kick six
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:24 pm to
Wait a sec, you Florida folk, they are talking about the levee breaching near Lake O a possibility???
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26159 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:25 pm to
I'm on team



Irma, don't pay attention to the knuckles, you can take it!
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Florida officials have done the best job they can do supplying gas even this late in the evacuations.


Would be in way better if a position if they would allow pipelines in the state
Posted by cypressbrake3
Member since Oct 2014
3681 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:26 pm to
Is Jose a threat to get into the Gulf?
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6988 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 8:26 pm to
They could have opened one lane on the southbound side to bus, RVs and trucks. Put a max speed limit of say 35-45 on it and police escort the fuel trucks down in the next lane.
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 8:27 pm
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