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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:06 pm to
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:06 pm to
It's all within the cones. The models aren't coming from the future, they won't be exact.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:07 pm to
Oh FFS. The models showed that the center of the storm was projected to go up the eastern Florida coast. The western side of the 3 day cone had SW Florida in the possible path.
Posted by thesoccerfanjax
Member since Nov 2013
6128 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Taking a gamble and going back to jville from Pensacola tonight and then likely back to west palm. Don't want to take over a week to get back.


We almost went to P-cola from Jax, but decided to stay, but head a few miles inland, for the same reason, as the storm shifts more and more west.
Posted by rsbd
banks of the Mississippi
Member since Jan 2007
23447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:08 pm to
100% chance it goes north















Somewhere between Florida and Texas
Posted by Sparkplug#1
Member since May 2013
7352 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Thanks Roach. I think we are bound and determined to stay. I really thank you for following up. The idea of hitting the road just...no. Home is a fortress, and if not, we have gear in the truck, ready to go. Again, thank you, especially White Roach, for looking out for your fellow OT'ers. This has been an adventure already and is abo


A good friend of mine is an ex cop/fireman that grew up and lives in Naples, and he's staying. Let me know if you or your family needs help after the storm passes.
Posted by Lou
Modesto, CA
Member since Aug 2005
8778 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:08 pm to
How much wind/water can a bridge withstand before it topples ? I am specifically asking in regards to all the bridges that construe Highway 1 from Key Largo to Key West. I know that cruise ships dock in Key West, so supplies could be delivered via water or air, but I wonder how severely the lower keys would be affected if part of the highway was damaged so bad that it cut off vehicular traffic from the Florida mainland. Obviously it remains to be seen, as all homes/structures in the keys could be leveled depending where Irma makes landfall and at what severity. Just something I was thinking about.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:08 pm to
Removing the path I wouldn't be against that. People would just see a cone and be like well shite it's time to prepare. And yeah, it says that in the graphics but people don't read these days anyway apparently.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Yea I know, it's gotta be so frustrating to refute this crap over and over.


I'm built to withstand gut feelings.
Posted by The Dudes Rug
Member since Nov 2004
14067 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:10 pm to
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
24210 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

How much wind/water can a bridge withstand before it topples ? I am specifically asking in regards to all the bridges that construe Highway 1 from Key Largo to Key West.


Katrina took out part of the twin span so it's possible.

This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 5:13 pm
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6154 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:12 pm to
Dude shut the frick up, you have no idea what you are talking about. It might hit these places, they are in the cone but the gulf is no warmer than the water its in now
I also doubt you have been projecting this landing spot
Posted by rsbd
banks of the Mississippi
Member since Jan 2007
23447 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

Katrina took out MOST of the twin span so it's possible.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

Oh FFS. The models showed that the center of the storm was projected to go up the eastern Florida coast. The western side of the 3 day cone had SW Florida in the possible path.




I'm just waiting for someone to pop in and say "WTF, now Missouri is in the cone???!!!"

Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:15 pm to
Last 2 days the thread goes to shite around 5 pm
Posted by Dotherightthing
Member since Mar 2017
366 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:15 pm to
Update: left Orlando 10 hours ago (8:30 am E) just passed Tallahassee on I10
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52562 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

Any time anyone here dared to question the north turn, they were quickly shown images and graphs and comments like "for the thousandth time" here's why it's gonna go right up the peninsula...
I beg to differ. I don't recall anyone stating that it would definitively go up the peninsula. Many have been certain that it would make the turn north, but it's always been a question of when. Those in the know in this thread have said to ignore the forecasted track and pay more attention to the cone. Parts of the panhandle have been included in the cone most of the time
Posted by ntrcptr
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2009
672 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:16 pm to
Cool graphic to show the cone really doesn't move around that much...

LINK
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11906 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

How much wind/water can a bridge withstand before it topples ? I am specifically asking in regards to all the bridges that construe Highway 1 from Key Largo to Key West


There's a very competent Canadian Company that can react really fast. For Katrina, they were on site within a week and putting up temporary 'arches' where the I-10 bridge had spans washed away. I talked to one of the engineers. THey bring their own lodging, kitchens, etc. I expect whoever owns it is pricing new luxury cars for himself and his key staff as I type this.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:17 pm to
Cairo, Illinois needs to evacuate ASAP
Posted by The Dudes Rug
Member since Nov 2004
14067 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 5:17 pm to
Good job baw. God speed.
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