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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/3/17 at 6:09 am to
Posted by FLBooGoTigs1
Nocatee, FL.
Member since Jan 2008
59233 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 6:09 am to
Frick just looked at the path of Irma :

Does anyone know if we have a weather front heading East anytime soon?
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
61103 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 7:16 am to
I'd be getting supplies and a bug-out bag ready.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:16 am to
Westward shift on the EPS from 12z yesterday to 00z.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:19 am to
The UK Met has been doing well in the verification scores over the last few days and it is really far south.

This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 9:28 am
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:21 am to
I just got inland hotel reservations for Sept 11-15
Posted by Bullfrog
Running Through the Wet Grass
Member since Jul 2010
61103 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:26 am to
Good planning. It's like the US is under weather attack by some evil James Bond villain.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:35 am to
GFS staying consistent with itself over the last few runs... this is the 06z run this morning

Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:37 am to
Where are you able to pull UKMET graphics and data?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:42 am to
someone yesterday mentioned the Canadian model

it's taking a somewhat weaker storm (~950mb... not the ~900mb monster the GFS & Euro have been putting out) straight up the middle of the Florida peninsula into GA, TN, KY
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 9:43 am
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:45 am to
well, you're just chock full of bad news this morning.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21443 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Where are you able to pull UKMET graphics and data?


LINK From here, it has all the major models.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51647 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:51 am to
900 Millibars.
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5632 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:03 am to
This would be an unprecedented hurricane in term of strength for the Carolinas, correct?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:10 am to
quote:

This would be an unprecedented hurricane in term of strength for the Carolinas, correct?

for comparison... Hurricane Hugo made landfall at 934mb
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
28511 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:13 am to
Louisiana is still a possibility?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Louisiana is still a possibility?

nothing is off the table yet, still
Posted by ForkEmDemons
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since May 2014
2235 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Louisiana is still a possibility?


Yes, but as of now it doesn't appear to be likely. Should turn north before it hits Florida if the models are correct.

Unfortuantly, hurrricanes can be quite unpredictable at times.
Posted by jlc05
Member since Nov 2005
33407 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:25 am to
Does the UKMET end its last run with Irma moving WNW vs NW?
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166607 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:26 am to
quote:

This would be an unprecedented hurricane in term of strength for the Carolinas, correct?
Yes.

If Irma goes into the Cape Fear River, Oak Island NC From Charleston to OBX will be annihilated. It looks like Myrtle Bch direct hit. I KNOW IT'S WAY TOO EARLY but with devastation such as this I am already trying to plan.

Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5632 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:28 am to
More importantly, it looks like it would wipe out Bald Head Island.
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