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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:33 pm to CptBengal
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:33 pm to CptBengal
quote:
Wilma was the most recent major hurricane to make landfall in the contiguous United States until Hurricane Harvey made landfall in southern Texas on August 26, 2017, ending a record length of time – slightly over 11 years and 10 months – without any major hurricanes making landfall in the United States. Wilma was also the last hurricane to strike the state of Florida until Hurricane Hermine did so nearly 11 years later in 2016, another record.
I thought this was interesting.
Harvey was the first major hurricane to make landfall in the US in almost 12 years? Damn.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:33 pm to rds dc
CMC with a big shift west. Panhandle landfall.
Also running Irma out much faster than previous runs, might be worth dismissing that run for now.
Also running Irma out much faster than previous runs, might be worth dismissing that run for now.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 11:36 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:34 pm to HubbaBubba
That is insane!! I'm still not buying the intensity on this at all- but IF, (huge IF) it were to verify that would bring cat 3 winds here in Orlando being on the dirty side. Wow! Of course not to mention catastrophic damage in Miami and all points south of us!
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 11:37 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:34 pm to HubbaBubba
Don't be gentle on her Florida.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:35 pm to rt3
quote:
most everyone agrees it won't be near 888 at landfall
Most everyone agreed Harvey wouldn't be that bad.
Having lived through Andrew in Miami, and Katrina in NOLA....and building my own time series much models....i tend to assume it's going to be bad and plan accordingly.
Will it be 888? Likely not. But probabilities are NEVER 1 or 0 in real world calculations.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:36 pm to deuce985
quote:
Looks a little more west than last run.
It is, slightly. It's also east of the 6z run from early this morning.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:37 pm to CptBengal
I don't see any convincing atmospheric projections causing a sharp turn to the north.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:38 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
Harvey was the first major hurricane to make landfall in the US in almost 12 years? Damn.
yea doesnt exactly jive with the political weather topics
eta: we arent debating. calm the frick down
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 11:44 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:39 pm to Deactived
quote:
yea doesnt exactly jive with the political weather topics
leave this debate to the poli board please
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:40 pm to HubbaBubba
GFS model predicting 158 knot (182 mph) winds as Irma hits Florida


This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 11:42 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:40 pm to Nawlens Gator
939 pressure reading found
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:40 pm to Nawlens Gator
quote:
I don't see any convincing atmospheric projections causing a sharp turn to the north.
There is if that trough doubles in size, slows down, and becomes the dominant feature over the continental landmass.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:41 pm to Duke
quote:
CMC with a big shift west. Panhandle landfall.
Also running Irma out much faster than previous runs, might be worth dismissing that run for now.
the Canadians have had the doom & gloom model for the north Gulf for a bit
I've avoided it b/c it's been the only 1
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:42 pm to AU24
Pushing 155 at the the wall at 890 less for landfall.
fricking brutal
fricking brutal
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:45 pm to rt3
quote:
the Canadians have had the doom & gloom model for the north Gulf for a bit
I've avoided it b/c it's been the only 1
Is it like the one AP voter who votes for the most random team as #1 just to get his name out there?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:46 pm to tunechi
quote:
Is it like the one AP voter who votes for the most random team as #1 just to get his name out there?
yeah... but this is Canadians
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:47 pm to tunechi
educate me for I am ignorant
what exactly makes people think this storm will make the turn north into Fla. and not continue into the GOM and male a more westerly land fall?
what exactly makes people think this storm will make the turn north into Fla. and not continue into the GOM and male a more westerly land fall?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:48 pm to HogIslandDuckman
Posted on 9/4/17 at 11:49 pm to HogIslandDuckman
quote:
what exactly makes people think this storm will make the turn north into Fla. and not continue into the GOM and male a more westerly land fall?
Time for me to go to bed
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