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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:42 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:42 pm to
Is GEFS Ocean/Atmo coupled?
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71011 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

I had an aunt and uncle who were in the process of building a home during Andrew .. maybe it was just framed up? Anyway, near where the front door was going to be they put a flower pot to "make it homey". They just knew they'd return to NOTHING.

Structure was fine ... the flower pot had been knocked over but not broken.


That is probably a story that 1 our of 500 get to tell. The other 499 have very different stories. Unreal lucky


Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
16069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:43 pm to
you guys caused me to buy another generator
I'm getting off here for now. i have yet to fill up my 14 gallon gas can.Another hour on here and i will have filled that as well. Will see what happens tommorrow before filling that up.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:44 pm to
Planes up now taking upper air samples around Irma, a small armada of recon planes constantly reading the storm at the lower end and a plethora of weather balloons over the midwest. It's about the least garbage in a weather model could ask for.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:44 pm to
I read that completely wrong. My bad.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 6:44 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

What data dump are you referring to? Just curious

a number of National Weather Service offices have been ordered to release more weather balloons than normal

along with the Hurricane Hunter information... of which there are 3 active missions to go along with another 2 or 3 that have already finished their flights
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15706 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:45 pm to
north Alabama here. what am i looking at for rainfall here?
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:45 pm to
Oh I gotcha. Really interesting. Thanks
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

North Alabama here. what am i looking at for rainfall here?


Come on, really?
Posted by weagle99
Member since Nov 2011
35893 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:46 pm to
About 3.50
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
48756 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

In the past I secretly made fun of people that are joe dead serious in these threads before quickly leaving them in respect. When some fool comes in swearing upside down it's gonna hit the GOM when the threads two best models say differently for many pages- you just snap. ? God help me I am now addicted to this thread and pity the fools that come here. I may just lol at them now. 

How nice of you to laugh at people who have had their lives turned upside down bc of hurricanes and may overreact just a little bc they're worried it'll happen again.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21466 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

Meaning that they are all dead set on Florida with a couple other outliers on the other side in the gulf. Phrasing. Don't cause a panic


Not trying to cause panic, just posting what the model shows. Tracks are out now.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:47 pm to


location of drop

Posted by SLafourche07
Member since Feb 2008
10053 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

north Alabama here.




Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39092 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:48 pm to
Mostly recon data from planes but I feel like there's probably more than usual balloon soundings being taken with the implications being a little more serious than normal at the moment. All of the current reading help the models everyone is looking have a better idea as to what is happening which in turn helps them be more accurate with their projections
Posted by UFownstSECsince1950
Member since Dec 2009
32814 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:48 pm to
I currently live in Ft. Lauderdale. At what point should I hit the road? I never worry about hurricanes, but I have a bad feeling about this one for some reason. Thinking about heading inland to ride this one out.
Posted by Spasweezy
Unfortunately, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2014
7250 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:48 pm to
This is not good at all.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:48 pm to
above is dropsondes in the eyewall

106 kt winds at the surface = ~125 mph winds
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45871 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:49 pm to
OK, I've officially downgraded the Anal Pucker Factor for the Carolinas down to 3.5
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:50 pm to
dropsonde 3 with winds of 111 kt or ~130 mph

ETA: surface
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 6:51 pm
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