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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:51 pm to
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:51 pm to
Makes sense. They're just trying to flood the models with as much real world data of this storm as possible. 6 hourly balloon, airplane recon, etc
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:51 pm to
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA HEADING TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...PREPARATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...
8:00 PM AST Mon Sep 4
Location: 16.7°N 55.0°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 943 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 6:52 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:51 pm to
florida brahs pls leave soon, damn this sucks
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

Is GEFS Ocean/Atmo coupled?



Yes as far as I know.

The only "major" model I know of that currently is uncoupled is the HMON, which decided to break a world record for low pressure last night.

rds is a really good resource if you want to dig into the nuts and bolts of the models btw.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:52 pm to
dropsonde 2 was in the eye... back down to 944 mb
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102492 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:52 pm to
quote:


Meaning that they are all dead set on Florida with a couple other outliers on the other side in the gulf. Phrasing. Don't cause a panic




Some of you need to stop trying to convince everyone it can't possibly enter the gulf as much as those trying to say it 100% will go in the gulf.

While I personally predicted it will go in the gulf I stated I am no expert and am only commenting on how I see it.

But right now everyone from Texas to North Carolina should monitor this and have a plan ready because even the experts aren't sure of the path. Nobody should dismiss it or let their guard down
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

Are you even watching the path get closer and closer to crossing Hispaniola and Cuba? It's not pretty likely that it won't do that anymore. You're watching these crappy models keeping it north when they've been wrong the entire time so far on this storm. It would be great for the US if they did that.

Then go ahead and develop your own models that are accurate. While you're at it, tell us where you got your degree in atmospheric sciences from.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
39092 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

OK, I've officially downgraded the Anal Pucker Factor for the Carolinas down to 3.5
rds can we integrate the anal pucker scale into the OP pls?

Thnks
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:53 pm to
winds are up also
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69067 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

north Alabama here. what am i looking at for rainfall here?


I predict you're going to take on 12 inches of snow

Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15706 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:55 pm to
so a guy in a thread about a hurricane cant wonder what his city is going to get weather wise? got it.
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:57 pm to
IDK Maybe start looking at the models and stuff....As of now, since absolutely no one knows where it's going to make landfall on the coast (if it does), I'm gonna say it's safe to say no one knows how much rain northern bumfrick alabama is gonna get.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 6:58 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102492 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

Not trying to cause panic, just posting what the model shows. Tracks are out now.


Damn. Shifted west again
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:57 pm to
got 134 kt (~155 mph) winds 322 m (~1,055 ft) up in the storm
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:58 pm to
No one knows where this storm is going, from Louisiana to north Carolina, and you're asking how much rain you're going to get in North Alabama. See how absurd that question might be?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

so a guy in a thread about a hurricane cant wonder what his city is going to get weather wise? got it.

you can... but right now the threat being analyzed is to the coast lands... not getting all too worried about inland at the moment
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:59 pm to
right now the immediate danger is the Northern leeward Islands.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109116 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:00 pm to
People just need to chill. Stop worrying about what could happen and make preparations for what to do if the bitch does come your way. If you're ready you can easily get out of Irma's way without resorting to panic.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49390 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:00 pm to
At what strength would it be wise to evac Baton Rouge?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102492 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

rds can we integrate the anal pucker scale into the


Nothing is more accurate than the anal pucker scale
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