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Message
re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to Palmetto08
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to Palmetto08
quote:
In all seriousness just keep an eye on weather alerts. Possible tornados and flash flooding in that area. I’d get get off the county roads by 6pm. Lots of oak trees in the area and there will be debris all over. Plus lots of creeks that run all over Baldwin County. Doesn’t take much rain for roads to flood.
Plan to hunker down on a bluff in Fairhope with a good bottle of rum and watch Gordon rage Mobile Bay.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to Tbonepatron
quote:
Jeff is at it again
He needs to find a blue shed before the storm hits
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to Duke
I had to turn of off he Weather Channel. It has my girlfriend freaking out and her family is making it worse. She is from San Diego so I have some compassion. THe house I’m in survived Ivan. I’ve been through Andrew, Rita and Gustav. Last year Nate was a Cat 1 going through here.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:48 am to lsumailman61
Just smack her to calm her down. Does she shite the bed When a 3.0 quake hits CA?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:51 am to lsumailman61
quote:
I had to turn of off he Weather Channel. It has my girlfriend freaking out and her family is making it worse. She is from San Diego so I have some compassion.
Yeah, don't mainline the Weather Channel today. The gulf shores locals know what's up, and I'm sure they're not running around freaked out. Three would be evac orders if it was expected to be truly dangerous.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:52 am to Duke
quote:
Getting some storms wrapped around the western flank and maybe an "eye" type feature showing up at the end.
I would assume storms wrapping around the west side would mean higher rain potential for SELA, assuming it holds together?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:52 am to Duke
Looks like an eyewall replacement cycle, amirite?
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 11:53 am
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:54 am to slackster
quote:
probably some of that, but the power of mother nature has always been a big draw. People gobble up natural disasters across the country. A hurricane is one of the few that you can discuss for days in advance, so the "wishcasting" can get out of hand.
I used to always wish for tornados because of the awe inspiring power of the storms.
Until I lived through the outbreak of April 2011 when I lived over near Starkville.
Nope
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:55 am to Duke
quote:
The gulf shores locals know what's up, and I'm sure they're not running around freaked out. Three would be evac orders if it was expected to be truly dangerous.
This is the truth. My mom was contemplating not even fooling with taking the boat off the lift. Not sure if she ended up taking it out or not
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:58 am to lsumailman61
quote:
THe house I’m in survived Ivan. I’ve been through Andrew, Rita and Gustav.
You’re what can be referred to as a “seasoned veteran”
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:00 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Looks like an eyewall replacement cycle, amirite?
Well not when there currently is no eyewall
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:01 pm to yomamak
quote:
time to shut this down and start talking about this one
The overall pattern is favorable for a Gulf system in that timeframe. It would probably get buried in the BOC but anything is possible. This would be before 92L but I'm not seeing much of a Gulf threat from 92L at this point.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:03 pm to rds dc
Anyone know the water temps off the gulf coast at the moment?
The eye closing on radar kinda sucks.
The eye closing on radar kinda sucks.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:05 pm to rds dc
West jog
but seriously, conditions seem to be improving and the 12z GFS, HWRF, & HMON all show strengthening up until landfall now.


Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:07 pm to rds dc
Anyone see Invest 92L? Looking like it’s on track to get in the gulf.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:08 pm to slackster
quote:
It's probably some of that, but the power of mother nature has always been a big draw. People gobble up natural disasters across the country. A hurricane is one of the few that you can discuss for days in advance, so the "wishcasting" can get out of hand
This is always my advice to people regarding staying/going:
If you’re renting a hotel room/house/condo and it’s a Cat 2 or less, you're fine staying and watching it unfold - assuming you don’t have small children or elderly.
The force of a hurricane is something to behold and is fascinating as long as it’s not your life or possessions on the line. The eerie feeling in the eye is something that can’t be replicated elsewhere, anybody interested in meteorology, science, or the weather in general should experience it once. If you’re not in a surge prone area your biggest worry is protecting your vehicle and sand covering the roads in the aftermath.
Usually if you take it upon yourself to clean up around the house or condo afterwards - even just simply removing any limbs/brush from the property - the owner(s) will cut you a deal on another week later on, refund some of your money, or hook you up some other way. I’ve even heard cases of the guest being given a free week the next year for spending ONE day picking up around the house they rented in the aftermath of Ivan and Katrina.
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 12:13 pm
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:10 pm to 50_Tiger
probably in the 80s. Like they are every year at this time.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:10 pm to rds dc
quote:
conditions seem to be improving
I can’t be the only that wonders if you by ‘improving’ you mean that the storm will weaken which is what I’m pulling for OR if it will get stronger.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:12 pm to rds dc
Hmmmm yall Remember Cindy sneaky arse hitting Nola at CAT 1 (2005)?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:12 pm to 337Tiger19
quote:
Looking like it’s on track to get in the Gulf.

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