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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to
Posted by Fishwater
Carcosa
Member since Aug 2010
6050 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to
quote:

In all seriousness just keep an eye on weather alerts. Possible tornados and flash flooding in that area. I’d get get off the county roads by 6pm. Lots of oak trees in the area and there will be debris all over. Plus lots of creeks that run all over Baldwin County. Doesn’t take much rain for roads to flood.


Plan to hunker down on a bluff in Fairhope with a good bottle of rum and watch Gordon rage Mobile Bay.
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
25787 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Jeff is at it again


He needs to find a blue shed before the storm hits
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
7967 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:46 am to
I had to turn of off he Weather Channel. It has my girlfriend freaking out and her family is making it worse. She is from San Diego so I have some compassion. THe house I’m in survived Ivan. I’ve been through Andrew, Rita and Gustav. Last year Nate was a Cat 1 going through here.
Posted by GhostofJackson
Speedy Teflon Wizard
Member since Nov 2009
7230 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:48 am to
Just smack her to calm her down. Does she shite the bed When a 3.0 quake hits CA?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:51 am to
quote:

I had to turn of off he Weather Channel. It has my girlfriend freaking out and her family is making it worse. She is from San Diego so I have some compassion.


Yeah, don't mainline the Weather Channel today. The gulf shores locals know what's up, and I'm sure they're not running around freaked out. Three would be evac orders if it was expected to be truly dangerous.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40975 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Getting some storms wrapped around the western flank and maybe an "eye" type feature showing up at the end.


I would assume storms wrapping around the west side would mean higher rain potential for SELA, assuming it holds together?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:52 am to
Looks like an eyewall replacement cycle, amirite?
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 11:53 am
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102524 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:54 am to
quote:

probably some of that, but the power of mother nature has always been a big draw. People gobble up natural disasters across the country. A hurricane is one of the few that you can discuss for days in advance, so the "wishcasting" can get out of hand.


I used to always wish for tornados because of the awe inspiring power of the storms.

Until I lived through the outbreak of April 2011 when I lived over near Starkville.

Nope
Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:55 am to
quote:

The gulf shores locals know what's up, and I'm sure they're not running around freaked out. Three would be evac orders if it was expected to be truly dangerous.

This is the truth. My mom was contemplating not even fooling with taking the boat off the lift. Not sure if she ended up taking it out or not
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102524 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 11:58 am to
quote:

THe house I’m in survived Ivan. I’ve been through Andrew, Rita and Gustav.


You’re what can be referred to as a “seasoned veteran”
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102524 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Looks like an eyewall replacement cycle, amirite?


Well not when there currently is no eyewall
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

time to shut this down and start talking about this one


The overall pattern is favorable for a Gulf system in that timeframe. It would probably get buried in the BOC but anything is possible. This would be before 92L but I'm not seeing much of a Gulf threat from 92L at this point.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:03 pm to
Anyone know the water temps off the gulf coast at the moment?

The eye closing on radar kinda sucks.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21478 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:05 pm to
West jog but seriously, conditions seem to be improving and the 12z GFS, HWRF, & HMON all show strengthening up until landfall now.

Posted by 337Tiger19
Lake Charles, LA
Member since Feb 2014
2481 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:07 pm to
Anyone see Invest 92L? Looking like it’s on track to get in the gulf.
Posted by RazorBroncs
Possesses the largest
Member since Sep 2013
16163 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

It's probably some of that, but the power of mother nature has always been a big draw. People gobble up natural disasters across the country. A hurricane is one of the few that you can discuss for days in advance, so the "wishcasting" can get out of hand


This is always my advice to people regarding staying/going:

If you’re renting a hotel room/house/condo and it’s a Cat 2 or less, you're fine staying and watching it unfold - assuming you don’t have small children or elderly.

The force of a hurricane is something to behold and is fascinating as long as it’s not your life or possessions on the line. The eerie feeling in the eye is something that can’t be replicated elsewhere, anybody interested in meteorology, science, or the weather in general should experience it once. If you’re not in a surge prone area your biggest worry is protecting your vehicle and sand covering the roads in the aftermath.

Usually if you take it upon yourself to clean up around the house or condo afterwards - even just simply removing any limbs/brush from the property - the owner(s) will cut you a deal on another week later on, refund some of your money, or hook you up some other way. I’ve even heard cases of the guest being given a free week the next year for spending ONE day picking up around the house they rented in the aftermath of Ivan and Katrina.
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 12:13 pm
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38017 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:10 pm to
probably in the 80s. Like they are every year at this time.
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
7081 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

conditions seem to be improving

I can’t be the only that wonders if you by ‘improving’ you mean that the storm will weaken which is what I’m pulling for OR if it will get stronger.

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:12 pm to
Hmmmm yall Remember Cindy sneaky arse hitting Nola at CAT 1 (2005)?

Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118250 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Looking like it’s on track to get in the Gulf.





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