re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Good thing it’s hauling arse.

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Robbie Miller

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If you're going to call someone an idiot at least spell their name correctly.

I’m driving to New Orleans from Tyler, TX tomorrow after work. I don’t know shite about hurricanes. Should be fine by tomorrow night, right?

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I didn’t say his name nor did I call him an idiot.

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I didn't say you did. I directed that at Ponchy.

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That's an interesting graph. What does it mean?

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The colored lines are all the different models running simulations with slightly different inputs, just like spaghetti models you see for the track.

The bottom row -or horizontally - shows how many hours out the prediction is for, the LH side -or vertically- shows intensity. This one caps out at Cat 1 because that’s rhe highest any of the models reached, and that was basically only the orange one. That orange one is saying it’ll still be a strengthening Cat 1 hurricane 60 hours from now, which is bananas.

I think each model has a single variance from the others and will run several hundred (iirc) simulations of outcomes per run.

Sounds delicious

So baton rouge isnt going to get much of anything?

Landfall is in the same place. The cone just shrinks with every update.