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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:01 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:01 am to rds dc
Wondering if the storm's leaning a little more north - the GFS forecast for that high showed a pull back last night, which would nudge Gordon in a bit more northerly direction, no?
1
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:01 am to Fatty Magoo
quote:
Whew, that’s a relief. Somebody tell all the forecasters, Hurricane hunters, and multi processor modeling simulations to take the day off. Some dude on TD got it all figured out.
That is what the experts are predicting, genius. Everything shows it'll be a small Cat 1 (if it even gets there) when it lands.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:02 am to JukeLeft
quote:
was supposed to drive from Houston to NO today and have a meeting in Hammond tomorrow, and meetings in New Orleans Thursday. I can move my Hammond meeting to the next week if need be. Should I do that and wait to drive to New Orleans tomorrow afternoon ? Making sure I have the best play here.
Rainfall projections through tomorrow night are higher for Houston than they are for Hammond.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:05 am to rds dc
Last few frames on visible sat. are pretty active.
He needs to come on.
He needs to come on.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:05 am to rds dc
quote:
New round of storms firing near the center with very little signs of shear in the cirrus pancake. Gordon might be trying to make one last run.
Is there a timelapse of the visible satellite view? Those tend to show development trends.
I'm rusty on my storm websites.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:06 am to mightynine
quote:
Wondering if the storm's leaning a little more north - the GFS forecast for that high showed a pull back last night, which would nudge Gordon in a bit more northerly direction, no?
This is the concern for Coastal Alabama. No matter where it makes landfall, Coastal Alabama will be on the eastern side of the eye, its just how strong of a wind field will Coastal Alabama take is the question.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:08 am to lsuhunt555
quote:
So should we stay in rosemary Beach until Thursday or leave now??
I think we’ll be alright around here other than torrential rains for a short time, I’d stay but that’s totally dependent on your family situation. Rosemary isn’t usually susceptible to flooding or surge even in some of the worst, you can either deal with traffic like crazy today or a possible slower-than-usual drive home on wet roads on Thursday.
If you’re leaving Thurs afternoon and not morning you’d be even better.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:08 am to CBDTiger
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:11 am to theOG
Looks like it's got more convection in the northern section and that is spreading towards the west, no?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:11 am to theOG
So have they Cancelled the LSU game yet???????may have to move this to gainesville
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 9:12 am
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:14 am to JukeLeft
quote:
wait to drive to New Orleans tomorrow afternoon
I don’t have first hand knowledge, but based on what the OT says, I wouldn’t drive in New Orleans after the sun goes down.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:19 am to theOG
Looks like snoopy chilling in gulf
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:22 am to theOG
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:24 am to RazorBroncs
There you go. Thanks.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:25 am to Fatty Magoo
quote:
Whew, that’s a relief. Somebody tell all the forecasters, Hurricane hunters, and multi processor modeling simulations to take the day off. Some dude on TD got it all figured out.
You know you dont have to read this thread, ya dick.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:26 am to Fatty Magoo
quote:
Whew, that’s a relief. Somebody tell all the forecasters, Hurricane hunters, and multi processor modeling simulations to take the day off. Some dude on TD got it all figured out.
This multi processor modeling?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:28 am to RazorBroncs
I don’t know shite but it looks to me like it’s getting its shite together.
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:30 am to tLSU
That's an interesting graph. What does it mean?
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:33 am to tLSU
Looks like intensity models are crying “rain event” more than anything.
Except for that retarded SHF5 model that has it as a strengthening hurricane over Arkansas and shite
Except for that retarded SHF5 model that has it as a strengthening hurricane over Arkansas and shite
Posted on 9/4/18 at 9:33 am to ThatMakesSense
It's a graph of the different models predicted wind spends over time in 12 hour increments.
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