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Message

re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:09 pm to
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:09 pm to
Idk, there may be some opposite wish casters in here with the way y'all are already writing off the storm.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:10 pm to
Good look trying to get people to leave with the next storm
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38030 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:10 pm to
Can you imagine how pissed people will be if this thing isn’t as they’ve been told for what, two weeks now?
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 9:11 pm
Posted by African Japanese
Member since Jul 2018
364 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:10 pm to
It’s the storm of a lifetime though
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

Can you imagine how pissed people will be if this thing happens ant as they’ve been told for what, two weeks now?


I feel like a majority of people were already skeptical. The media really does a disservice in their coverage of these storms.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147073 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:12 pm to
quote:

Good look trying to get people to leave with the next storm

this is my serious concern... the next monster comes and no one leaves b/c this one started to fizzle out
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38030 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:12 pm to
quote:

Good look trying to get people to leave with the next storm



Yep. Over hyping the shite out of everything, then everyone quits listening. Hello Katrina.
Posted by African Japanese
Member since Jul 2018
364 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:13 pm to
You can blame that on these weather people. Incredible that they are paid to be wrong consistently all the way up until the storm actually hits. They seriously don’t know shite
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:14 pm to
The Weather Channel has 18 different people spread for storm barely clinging to Cat 1 status

This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 9:18 pm
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:15 pm to
Every east coast storm is the "storm of the century" because of the major media markets.

I don't remember Harvey having a 15 person coverage team from The Weather Channel ahead of landfall last year.
Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:15 pm to
I honestly don’t listen to anything they say and come to the OT when I’m looking for real info
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38030 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:15 pm to
It’s not not that they don’t know shite as much as it’s that they are so desperate to matter, to be needed, and get ratings, that they over- hype every event from a cold front to a thunderstorm.
Posted by QuietTiger
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2003
26256 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

al_cajun

Yep
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16879 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

Yeah. It's going to be hard to support any higher winds in the advisory.

I sure hope you are right dude.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108298 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:17 pm to
This thing is extremely large and extremely wet. Very very wet.
Posted by CorkSoaker
Member since Oct 2008
9823 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:17 pm to
That’s what he said
Posted by AubieALUMdvm
Member since Oct 2011
11713 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

I honestly don’t listen to anything they say and come to the OT when I’m looking for real info



RDS RC - pretty much my primary source of info in all things tropical weather.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45911 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

This thing is extremely large and extremely wet. Very very wet.




Ya but it's not much more dangerous than your average summer thunderstorm.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46770 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

Good look trying to get people to leave with the next storm


The shame of it is that the next one might be the grandpa of all storms. This one is still going to bring plenty of rain, wreck roads, and flood out some hard-working people that don't deserve it.

When does autumn get here again?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147073 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

You can blame that on these weather people. Incredible that they are paid to be wrong consistently all the way up until the storm actually hits. They seriously don’t know shite

it's been said a million times in this thread... intensity forecasting is still totally not understood

everything a couple days ago looked perfectly lined up for this storm to maintain top line strength... hot water, minimal shear, etc.

then... like strong storms do... it does an eyewall replacement cycle BUT... it never fully finishes that 1 before seemingly cycle after cycle begins so it never got the chance to ramp back up from a completed EWRC

and now... there's unexpected shear coming up from the south that's done a serious number on the storm

it's certainly 1 that meteorologists can look at to maybe try to better intensity forecasting
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