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Message

re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Idk, there may be some opposite wish casters in here with the way y'all are already writing off the storm.



It's still going to be plenty of rain and surge and the winds will still frick some shite up. I'm just saying it's hard to justify any higher "strength" right now.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109165 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

This thing is extremely large and extremely wet. Very very wet.


Reminds me of your mother, Ryno.
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to
we should be looking at boats but these are docks
no boats
where are the boats
these are empty docks


god the weather channel is pathetic
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

Yep. Over hyping the shite out of everything, then everyone quits listening. Hello Katrina.


Nah, the people that stayed during Katrina weren't going to leave no matter what. Every place has them.
Posted by UncleFestersLegs
Member since Nov 2010
16879 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:23 pm to
wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????



the weather channel would be
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Nah, the people that stayed during Katrina weren't going to leave no matter what.





quote:

Every place has them.




This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 9:26 pm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46770 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????


I'd be happy if these Carolina fellers got just enough rain to keep their tomatoes healthy, and more wind from a $12 Taco Bell binge.
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
58146 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:27 pm to
Give the WC a break. They are still traumatized from hurricane Gloria up there
Posted by Beessnax
Member since Nov 2015
11098 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:28 pm to
quote:


RDS RC - pretty much my primary source of info in all things tropical weather.


He/she definitely knows the science has the ability to dumb it down to where folks like me can understand. Many thanks for participating!
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
38030 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:29 pm to
I disagree. My recollection is that NoLa had evacuated for a storm prior to Katrina. Then when Katrina came a larger than average # of people stayed or left pets behind or didn’t properly prepare to evacuate leading to the clusterfrick. More “crying wolf” bullshite. We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.

I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.

Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46770 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

They are still traumatized from hurricane Gloria up there


I wish I was young, and Hurricane Stephanie would come traumatize me.



Posted by al_cajun
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2017
2442 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

RDS RC


He is secretly Jim Cantore
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118250 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:31 pm to
frickin apologize to Ryno about his mother, right now.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:33 pm to
I imagine the 10 PM advisory will come out early... so that should be in a few minutes
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:33 pm to
So wait? I just heard on the airwaves the storm is expected to intensify by Friday.

Who knows what? and why is there such a disagreement between the OT and the National Hurricane Center?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:36 pm to
quote:


I disagree. My recollection is that NoLa had evacuated for a storm prior to Katrina. Then when Katrina came a larger than average # of people stayed or left pets behind or didn’t properly prepare to evacuate leading to the clusterfrick. More “crying wolf” bullshite. We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.

I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.

Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.


New Orleans situation for Katrina would have never been a situation if the leaves don’t fail.

The hurricane missed New Orleans. It could have been a lot worse for Louisiana and New Orleans had it just wobbled 30 -40 Miles to the West.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.

I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.

Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.


I won't argue against TWC hyping stuff up. shite, they started naming winter storms.

However, for Florence, the hype was pretty justified. The models are there for anyone to look at. When every major model is showing a 3/4 at landfall + stall on the coast + 30"+ rainfall, it should get everyone's attention.

Also, we say this like Florence has already come and gone. It's still going to be a shite show for places like Wilmington.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102605 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Max winds so far in recon have been 91 mph.



Damn talk about models missing big time.

Which sucks because after all the hype people won’t listen. And many will decide to stay and surge can still be bad
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

So wait? I just heard on the airwaves the storm is expected to intensify by Friday.

Who knows what? and why is there such a disagreement between the OT and the National Hurricane Center?


The NHC said there is a small window, but expects it to "weaken" in max winds before landfall. The second part of that statement is left off of most broadcasts.

quote:

A narrow window of opportunity remains during the next 24 hours or so for Florence to strengthen a little when the hurricane passes over the warmer SSTs and deeper warm water/higher upper-ocean heat content associated with the Gulf Stream, and low vertical shear conditions of 5-10 kt will aid in any strengthening process. However, significant strengthening is not anticipated due to Florence's large and expanding inner-core wind field. By 36 h and beyond, decreasing ocean heat content along with the slowing forward speed of Florence will likely produce cold upwelling beneath the hurricane, inducing a gradual weakening trend. When Florence moves over the shallow coastal shelf waters in 48-72 h, land interaction and more significant upwelling are anticipated, which should further enhance the weakening process.


That was nearly 5 hours ago too.
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