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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to GetCocky11
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
Idk, there may be some opposite wish casters in here with the way y'all are already writing off the storm.
It's still going to be plenty of rain and surge and the winds will still frick some shite up. I'm just saying it's hard to justify any higher "strength" right now.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to Tiger Ryno
quote:
This thing is extremely large and extremely wet. Very very wet.
Reminds me of your mother, Ryno.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:20 pm to Hangit
we should be looking at boats but these are docks
no boats
where are the boats
these are empty docks
god the weather channel is pathetic
no boats
where are the boats
these are empty docks
god the weather channel is pathetic
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:21 pm to tigerinthebueche
quote:
Yep. Over hyping the shite out of everything, then everyone quits listening. Hello Katrina.
Nah, the people that stayed during Katrina weren't going to leave no matter what. Every place has them.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:23 pm to tigerinthebueche
wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:24 pm to UncleFestersLegs
quote:
wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????
the weather channel would be
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:24 pm to slackster
quote:
Nah, the people that stayed during Katrina weren't going to leave no matter what.
quote:
Every place has them.

This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 9:26 pm
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:26 pm to UncleFestersLegs
quote:
wtf would someone be mad if no one dies and very little property is destroyed????
I'd be happy if these Carolina fellers got just enough rain to keep their tomatoes healthy, and more wind from a $12 Taco Bell binge.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:27 pm to LaBR4
Give the WC a break. They are still traumatized from hurricane Gloria up there
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:28 pm to AubieALUMdvm
quote:
RDS RC - pretty much my primary source of info in all things tropical weather.
He/she definitely knows the science has the ability to dumb it down to where folks like me can understand. Many thanks for participating!
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:29 pm to slackster
I disagree. My recollection is that NoLa had evacuated for a storm prior to Katrina. Then when Katrina came a larger than average # of people stayed or left pets behind or didn’t properly prepare to evacuate leading to the clusterfrick. More “crying wolf” bullshite. We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.
I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.
Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.
I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.
Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:30 pm to prplhze2000
quote:
They are still traumatized from hurricane Gloria up there
I wish I was young, and Hurricane Stephanie would come traumatize me.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:30 pm to AubieALUMdvm
quote:
RDS RC
He is secretly Jim Cantore
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:31 pm to PsychTiger
frickin apologize to Ryno about his mother, right now.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:33 pm to BRgetthenet
I imagine the 10 PM advisory will come out early... so that should be in a few minutes
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:33 pm to slackster
So wait? I just heard on the airwaves the storm is expected to intensify by Friday.
Who knows what? and why is there such a disagreement between the OT and the National Hurricane Center?
Who knows what? and why is there such a disagreement between the OT and the National Hurricane Center?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:36 pm to tigerinthebueche
quote:
I disagree. My recollection is that NoLa had evacuated for a storm prior to Katrina. Then when Katrina came a larger than average # of people stayed or left pets behind or didn’t properly prepare to evacuate leading to the clusterfrick. More “crying wolf” bullshite. We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.
I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.
Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.
New Orleans situation for Katrina would have never been a situation if the leaves don’t fail.
The hurricane missed New Orleans. It could have been a lot worse for Louisiana and New Orleans had it just wobbled 30 -40 Miles to the West.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:38 pm to tigerinthebueche
quote:
We just saw it with the depression/storm last week in Bama/Ms. fearmongering and hype for an absolute dud of a storm.
I realize they want to err on the side of caution, but they’re doing more harm than good.
Of course if Flo reintensifies, then Game on, but I still think the hype is way overdone.
I won't argue against TWC hyping stuff up. shite, they started naming winter storms.
However, for Florence, the hype was pretty justified. The models are there for anyone to look at. When every major model is showing a 3/4 at landfall + stall on the coast + 30"+ rainfall, it should get everyone's attention.
Also, we say this like Florence has already come and gone. It's still going to be a shite show for places like Wilmington.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:39 pm to slackster
quote:
Max winds so far in recon have been 91 mph.
Damn talk about models missing big time.
Which sucks because after all the hype people won’t listen. And many will decide to stay and surge can still be bad
Posted on 9/12/18 at 9:41 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
So wait? I just heard on the airwaves the storm is expected to intensify by Friday.
Who knows what? and why is there such a disagreement between the OT and the National Hurricane Center?
The NHC said there is a small window, but expects it to "weaken" in max winds before landfall. The second part of that statement is left off of most broadcasts.
quote:
A narrow window of opportunity remains during the next 24 hours or so for Florence to strengthen a little when the hurricane passes over the warmer SSTs and deeper warm water/higher upper-ocean heat content associated with the Gulf Stream, and low vertical shear conditions of 5-10 kt will aid in any strengthening process. However, significant strengthening is not anticipated due to Florence's large and expanding inner-core wind field. By 36 h and beyond, decreasing ocean heat content along with the slowing forward speed of Florence will likely produce cold upwelling beneath the hurricane, inducing a gradual weakening trend. When Florence moves over the shallow coastal shelf waters in 48-72 h, land interaction and more significant upwelling are anticipated, which should further enhance the weakening process.
That was nearly 5 hours ago too.
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