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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:55 pm to Loungefly85
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:55 pm to Loungefly85
quote:
You very well may be right, but people need to consider that just because wind speed drops to a 3, that doesn’t necessarily correlate to a drop in surge and rainfall totals.
Katrina hit MS Gulf Coast as a 3... with surges like a 5. The set up for that - a big storm that pushes up a ton of water and then loses some wind speed due to an eyewall replacement cycle... seems like we could have a similar thing here.
0
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:56 pm to ell_13
CSB: my dad was stationed at Ft Jackson during Donna. They were sent to sandbag a levee. During the worst of the storm they put on their helmets and ponchos, linked arms, and sat down with their backs to the wind.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:56 pm to rt3
quote:
may want to hold off on that "coming here" thing
I mean... that blob may be better to deal with than Florence... but you never know
And whatever Issac remains will be sitting in the Caribbean once the blob is done doing it's thing.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:57 pm to Dire Wolf
Florence:
Isaac:
Helene:
95L:
Isaac:
Helene:
95L:
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:00 pm to slackster
Florence has gone buzzsaw.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:01 pm to slackster
We have obviously offended the weather gods.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:02 pm to jefffan
quote:
I'm going to Augusta. Prob Thursday
Grab a steak at T-bonz off Washington
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:03 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
We have obviously offended the weather gods.
All those 'we will rebuild' plastic chair memes
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:05 pm to 9Fiddy
quote:
When the map is zoomed out it doesn't look terrible compared to a LA hit, but zooming in, there are a shite top of populated areas 9+ feet underwater.
Those maps are a little tough to read, but they do a good job of highlighting worst case scenarios.
quote:
For each storm combination, parallel storms make landfall in 5 to 10 mile increments along the coast within the SLOSH grid, and the maximum storm surge footprint from each simulation is composited, retaining the maximum height of storm surge in a given basin grid cell.
They also assume high tide as a basis, so it's a Category 1-5 storm within 10 miles of the grids along the coast, arriving at high tide. If the map says you're dry from surge, it's a pretty safe bet.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:09 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
Florence has gone buzzsaw.
She's also slowed down her strengthening, at least for now.
The central pressure is up to 944mb from 943mb an hour or so ago. Also, she's started a more WNW or even NW movement over the last 3 hours, but that was mostly expected.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:09 pm to slackster
Latest HMON and HWRF...both are still inland over NC after 126 hours.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:13 pm to NorthEndZone
Gfs has this thing sitting offshore at 902mb at hour 150 holy shite
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:14 pm to slackster
When will the NHC start with the 3 hour intermediate advisories. I know they have rules and procedures they follow with this stuff, issuing watches, etc, but should they early issue something to kind of make sure people are paying attention?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:14 pm to LSUFanHouston
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:21 pm to GetCocky11
Euro holding form down toward Wilmington and realistic pressure coming in. In like generally with the now ocean coupled HMON and HWRF. Certainly more reasonable than a sub 910 parked off the coast for days. The big hint from the GFS is the slowdown. Steering gets weak.
Convection on Florence has died down a little. Think we're hitting the plateau for now.
Convection on Florence has died down a little. Think we're hitting the plateau for now.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:21 pm to GetCocky11
These aren't good for eastern SC.
Thought there would be an update at 2?
Thought there would be an update at 2?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:24 pm to 9Fiddy
quote:
I think this may actually fit the billing of the name DOOMCANE
Wait until it starts spawning the sharknados.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:27 pm to GetCocky11
12z Euro has Florence at 944mb making landfall on Bald Head Island, NC, immediately south of Wilmington, NC.
That's disastrous news for Wilmington from a surge standpoint.
FWIW, the 12z Euro also says Florence would be at 973mb right now, and she's at 944mb instead.
That's disastrous news for Wilmington from a surge standpoint.
FWIW, the 12z Euro also says Florence would be at 973mb right now, and she's at 944mb instead.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:27 pm to Duke
Man, I know it's said all the time, but the posters on this board are awesome. Thanks to everyone who is contributing their knowledge to this thread and all weather-related threads. 
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:29 pm to When in Rome
when does Florence gets its own stickied thread? SC/NC residents deserve it.
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