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Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:31 pm to When in Rome
in 2 hours... which is the amount of time between the 1st & 2nd dropsonde drops in the middle of the eye...
Florence moved 0.1 N 0.4 W
Florence moved 0.1 N 0.4 W
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:31 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
When will the NHC start with the 3 hour intermediate advisories. I know they have rules and procedures they follow with this stuff, issuing watches, etc, but should they early issue something to kind of make sure people are paying attention?
3 hour public advisories will begin when a tropical conditions watch has been issued. Probably won't see any watches issued until Tuesday morning according to the NHC, so the 3 hour updates should start then.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:34 pm to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
Winston-Salem should be fine, right?
Just spoke with my aunt in Winston-Salem and she said they expect some rain as it will linger for a few days but hopefully not too much wind.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:35 pm to slackster
NW eyewall drop. If Florence just maintains her integrity over the next few hours we'll likely see some of those 133 kt (154 mph) winds work their way to the surface.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:36 pm to Centinel
quote:
Oh that's just fricking ducky.
Any of you Cola baws wanna paddle the Saluda at 20,000 CFS?
Rafted it at 38k after the flood...was insanity
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:36 pm to Dire Wolf
It seems like the bad weather lately wants to hit areas that are already hit hard.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:37 pm to slackster
another plane just took off from Florida headed to Florence... but it looks like this is high level recon and it probably won't enter the storm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:38 pm to rds dc
12z Euro cutting way back on rain totals, looks like widespread 15-18" but not seeing any 30-40"+ totals through Day 7 like on the 00z run.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:39 pm to Chad504boy
I just hit "Request Admin" --> Sticky Thread on the OP. I would guess that the more people who do that, the more likely they'll sticky it. Maybe not though 
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:41 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Euro cutting way back on rain totals, looks like widespread 15-18" but not seeing any 30-40"+ totals through Day 7 like on the 00z run.
Allah Akbar
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:42 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
Seriously though, I talked to a friend at Fort Bragg Saturday and he had no idea there was a storm on the way before talking with me, and he's an officer.
Tell him he needs to talk more to his E-7s and -8s.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:44 pm to Cosmo
Euro wind gusts at 7PM Thursday evening:
That's a 159 mph wind gust in Wilmington, the max on the map.
Still expected to pack quite the punch as it moves inland. This is the wind gusts 9 hours later:
That's a 159 mph wind gust in Wilmington, the max on the map.
Still expected to pack quite the punch as it moves inland. This is the wind gusts 9 hours later:
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:47 pm to slackster
Wilmington, hello NE quadrant
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:49 pm to rt3
quote:
another plane just took off from Florida headed to Florence... but it looks like this is high level recon and it probably won't enter the storm
There is another one en route that just took off out of Savannah. I'd imagine it is low level reconnaissance.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 1:50 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:50 pm to slackster
Has anyone seen local rainfall estimates based on new runs? I am in Columbia, SC and know we will get some rain. I am not concerned as much with rising rivers as I am with local totals flooding my neighborhood.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:53 pm to CidCock
Based on that latest model above I'd guess 3 to 5 inches.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:53 pm to slackster
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:54 pm to jefffan
Latest GFS is horrific for NC coast
Posted on 9/10/18 at 1:56 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Euro cutting way back on rain totals
Why do you think that is? Faster motion? Or does moisture get cut off once inland?
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