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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:27 pm to slackster
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:27 pm to slackster
quote:
0z Euro wind gusts 7PM Thursday
Not all that different from Hugo. Sort of forgotten in these discussions?
Obviously a much more traditional Cape Verde storm with a more southerly track but the intensity and landfall projections are similar.

Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:28 pm to slackster
quote:
Spoiler alert, there is a reading of 62.4" in essentially 72 hours mixed in that dark bronze blob about 100 miles off the Outer Banks
Climate change proponents have been warning about sea level rise.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:36 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
Is there a more nightmarish scenario than that?
It doing that over Manhattan? Couldn't imagine riding out that scenario nearish the coast. It'd be like dodgeball with 2x4s out of an air cannon.
It's pretty outlandish but continues to increase the flood concerns in my mind. Models do crazy things like this when there's nothing to move the storm.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:50 pm to Duke
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAAC...
5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 8
Location: 14.5°N 36.6°W
Moving: W at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 8
Location: 14.5°N 36.6°W
Moving: W at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:56 pm to lsuman25
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAAC...
Posted on 9/8/18 at 4:32 pm to BruceJender
quote:
Wouldn’t this be something similar to Harvey where it just sits and dumps a ton of rain?
Yeah, the 12z Euro has 12" in 24 hours for Wilmington and spread 15-20+" totals over most of Virginia.
Total accumulated rainfall from 12z Euro through 7AM Tuesday.
Rainfall totals before Florence comes inland at 10am Thursday:

Posted on 9/8/18 at 4:34 pm to slackster
I'd officially be worried now if I lived on the NC coast.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 4:48 pm to GetCocky11
Or SC coast, Georgia coast
Posted on 9/8/18 at 4:53 pm to Ba Ba Boooey
I think the NHC’s track is solid and it will likely hit northern SC or southern NC.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:04 pm to otowntiger
Looks like Florence wants a big TV audience. Gonna make landfall in primetime on Thursday.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:07 pm to rds dc
Added this to the OP post, for anyone that wants to track models


Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:14 pm to rds dc
Florence has such a wacky path. It's been wandering around up "north" but it's still below Miami's latitude.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:19 pm to rds dc
18z Early Cycle Tracks - still a nice OTS grouping, maybe Climo can pull the win?


Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:20 pm to slackster
That much rain in those mountains would be calamitous
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:30 pm to rds dc
Happy Hour GFS going with the flattening the outer Banks solution.
Getting about time to start watching the storm structure too. Strengthening phase about to start in earnest.
Getting about time to start watching the storm structure too. Strengthening phase about to start in earnest.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:32 pm to Jim Rockford
Why did the weather channel start calling the Cape Verdes "Cabo Verde"? shite is annoying.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:32 pm to Jim Rockford
It would be a catastrophe.


Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:34 pm to The Boat
I think they changed their official recognized name to Cabo (it is Portuguese) a couple years ago.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 5:34 pm to The Boat
quote:
Why did the weather channel start calling the Cape Verdes "Cabo Verde"?
They started calling themselves Cabo Verde officially in like 2013. Im still not used to it.
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