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Posted on 9/8/18 at 12:46 pm to metallica81788
quote:
Guess it’s also very unlikely my two concerts at HOB in MB will happen.
Attending or playing?
If the apocalypse doesn’t arrive I might drive up if the band is good.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 12:51 pm to DVinBR
quote:
GFS parks it at katrina strength off the coast then pulls it away into the atlantic
Needless to say, if that stall happens and where it occurs will be of great importance.
12z GFS - total accumulated rainfall on Thursday at 7AM:
Totl accumulated rainfall 72 hours later:
Spoiler alert, there is a reading of 62.4" in essentially 72 hours mixed in that dark bronze blob about 100 miles off the Outer Banks.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 12:52 pm to DVinBR
quote:
GFS parks it at katrina strength off the coast then pulls it away into the atlantic
I hope it does this. Gets close then pulls away and no direct landfall. I live a little over an hour from Myrtle Beach but I'm on orders in DC this year. If it does hit, wife and my son can't leave because she is an hospice nurse.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 12:58 pm to slackster
GFS also has TD9 fizzling out by the time it approaches near central america. Euro running now.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 1:02 pm to rds dc
quote:Go west, young man
TD9
Posted on 9/8/18 at 1:06 pm to ForeverLSU02
On the bright side, if I have to evacuate from Charleston to Atlanta, I might just make a day trip to Auburn next Saturday.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 1:26 pm to PsychTiger
latest dropsonde in the eye measured 990 mb at the surface
This post was edited on 9/8/18 at 1:28 pm
Posted on 9/8/18 at 1:29 pm to rt3
12z Euro positions.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 1:32 pm to slackster
quote:
Spoiler alert, there is a reading of 62.4" in essentially 72 hours mixed in that dark bronze blob about 100 miles off the Outer Banks.
shite, the ocean gonna get flooded AF.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:05 pm to Duke
quote:
12z Euro positions.
Decent northward shift, it wouldn't take much to put it inline with the GFS and have Florence miss a direct hit.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:07 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
shite, the ocean gonna get flooded AF.
This is why sea levels are rising. Rain from all these hurricanes, not ice caps melting.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:07 pm to rds dc
HWRF looks like a Fla-Ga line type track?
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:09 pm to rds dc
That is a gaping eye. Reminds me of paige’s nudes on reddit
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:11 pm to Cosmo
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:24 pm to PsychTiger
Attending - Tremonti/Seether and Parkway Drive. Just some metal stuff haha.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:27 pm to Duke
quote:
12z Euro positions.
Wouldn’t this be something similar to Harvey where it just sits and dumps a ton of rain?
This post was edited on 9/8/18 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 9/8/18 at 2:33 pm to BruceJender
quote:
Wouldn’t this be something similar to Harvey where it just sits and dumps a ton of rain?
Yes and that's a real concern especially if the high is strong enough to get it nice and inland. There's nothing coming to significantly breakdown the ridge, leaving the storm trapped.
Surprised a bit at the right shift on the models this noontime, though the HWRF is zagging south atm.
Finally, Cosmo wins comment of the day pretty damn early.
ETA: The Euro ensamble spread tightened up on the 12z. The 0z goes out much later in time, so just look close to the coastline or it'll look more dramatic of a change than it was
Moar Edits: The experimental FV3-GFS brought the fun. Storm hits NC. Hangs around to do some flooding. Drops south off the coast, reorganizes into a Cat 3 and comes back ashore about the same spot. I wouldn't take this seriously of course, but another signal the steering gets really weak by potential landfall time.
This post was edited on 9/8/18 at 3:10 pm
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:13 pm to metallica81788
I like Seether, PWD is okay.
Posted on 9/8/18 at 3:21 pm to Duke
quote:
Storm hits NC. Hangs around to do some flooding. Drops south off the coast, reorganizes into a Cat 3 and comes back ashore about the same spot.
Holy shite. Is there a more nightmarish scenario than that?
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