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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:19 am to
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
8022 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:19 am to
Posted by Clockwatcher68
Youngsville
Member since May 2006
8022 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:21 am to
quote:

i plan on driving to miami on monday. will this affect that?


I plan on kayaking to Miami from the Bahamas on Saturday. Should I be worried?
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45871 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:22 am to
quote:

I plan on kayaking to Miami from the Bahamas on Saturday. Should I be worried?



Nah you good baw. Just make sure you rig a sail up so you don't have to paddle as much.

Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53871 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:22 am to
Not really, what brand paddle do you use?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:22 am to
quote:


i plan on driving to miami on monday. will this affect that?


I wouldn't do that.

Get a small boat and put in around Jacksonville and ride the coast south. Much safer.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45871 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Not really, what brand paddle do you use?



I don't know about him, but I use a Werner Shogun bent shaft.

Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53871 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:27 am to
quote:

but I use a Werner Shogun bent shaft. 



Those are great for the choppy seas
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150087 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:29 am to
but how will i make my flight to freeport
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:30 am to
Posted by BayouENGR
Seagrove Beach
Member since Nov 2015
2913 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:30 am to
Frick EGR2
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30274 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:30 am to
quote:

So Disney just holds their employees hostage while a CAT 4 hurricane pounds the coast just East of them?


I'm not sure holding hostage is the right term I mean hell they could always quit....but if your asking if people will be working at/getting paid to be at Disney during the hurricane then the answer to that question is unequivocally yes.

ETA I'm sure there will be guests in the resorts as well...although I'm sure the parks will be closed to guests during the storm.
This post was edited on 8/30/19 at 9:32 am
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102502 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:32 am to
quote:

plan on driving to miami on monday. will this affect that?



Take a shot
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:33 am to
So I ponies up the cash for what I believe to be a rapid variation of the 6z and 18z Euro for you baws. Unfortunately it only goes out 72 or so hours.

The 6z Euro is a bit faster than the 00z run:

00z



06z

Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:36 am to
quote:

.but if your asking if people will be working at/getting paid to be at Disney during the hurricane then the answer to that question is unequivocally yes.



I guess you're right and I'm wrong





quote:

While it is rare for Disney World to shut down the parks, a hurricane headed in that direction changes things drastically. Back in 2017, for example, Disney World altered plans ahead of Hurricane Irma, which was also a Category 1 when it arrived in the area. All four parks were closed for two days.


quote:

Disney World Closed its Parks for Hurricanes Matthew & Irma and Could Follow Suit for Dorian


quote:

Although Disney World tries to stay open, the safety of guests and cast members is of utmost importance. Back in 2016, Disney World closed all four theme parks when Category 3 Hurricane Matthew hit. Disney Parks were also closed for two days.

If the weather in the area is bad, Disney will more than likely close its parks and cancel all events for at least 24 hours. That decision will most likely be made if and when a hurricane warning is issued for the area.

Based on Dorian’s current track, the theme parks would most likely close on Tuesday, September 3, and/or maybe on Wednesday, September 4. Disney Springs would also likely close during this time, as it may not be safe to be outdoors.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:36 am to
quote:

I’m seeing that too. But the posters above say that’s wishcasting. Are we all looking at the same models? They have it crossing Florida and going in the Gulf briefly before hitting the panhandle.


None of the operational models are showing that.

A handful of ensemble models, which are basically just alternative simulations with tweaked assumptions, are nothing to worry about for now.

There are more out to sea ensembles than GOM ones on the Euro.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:40 am to
A new ensemble run shows a few new outliers farther west and people on here be like: SEE! ITS TRENDING WEST INTO THE GULF!
Posted by whoa
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
5922 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:46 am to
No casual person with zero weather knowledge knows wtf ensembles are and which ones are legit or not. The pictures posted on the last page show more than just a few new outliers.
Posted by BoogaBear
Member since Jul 2013
7310 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:46 am to
quote:

ITS TRENDING WEST INTO THE GULF!


Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42539 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Your gut telling you that


No

Looking at models and the current set up and reading what more knowledgeable folks say.

The slower it goes the more likelihood it won’t get Into the GOM unless it comes in more South
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
26615 posts
Posted on 8/30/19 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Is this the all female hurricane hunter crew?


If women belonged in a cockpit, they'd call it a box office.


I'll see my self out now.
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