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re: How COVID cases are defined and counted by the CDC - this will piss you off

Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
Posted by pistolpete23
In the present
Member since Dec 2007
7285 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
Posted by The Nino
Member since Jan 2010
21820 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Alabama appears to differentiate the two. The department of public health releases a number for confirmed and a different number for probable. Is this not similar in other states?
So does the CDC. Surveillance case tracking is nothing new...they've been recording this type of data since the 90s for numerous types of infectious diseases. In their data reports, they also differentiate between confirmed positives and suspected positives. How people manipulate that data is not their fault
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:


Federal dollars to various institutions


Isn’t the CDC a federal institution? Why would a federal institution need to cook the books to get federal dollars they’re already getting?
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48912 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Probable COULD technically be defined as someone who walked into a doctor's office and complains


Correct. This has been happening for a while now.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61384 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

How people manipulate that data is not their fault


How's LA doing it? All I could find is probable deaths and "cases"
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:14 pm to
The "official" numbers were ALWAYS a lie.

At this point, only mentally retarded people believe otherwise.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61384 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Isn’t the CDC a federal institution? Why would a federal institution need to cook the books to get federal dollars they’re already getting?


CDC is writing their definitions so loosely along with HHS' reimbursement guidelines that the books cook themselves on the hospital/state level.
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

*awaits motorcycle COVID death reply*


I knew idiots that believed anything they were told by people who self-identify as "experts" existed, but never met one til now....HOWDY!!!
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

oogabooga68


Your post history just gave me cancer.
Posted by NoSaint
Member since Jun 2011
12807 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

Cool, so the death rate will plummet even lower.


Ultimately it’s why you look at test volume, positive rate and deaths/hospitalizations. You need to evaluate from a few angles and see where the data takes you in various jurisdictions. It’s not easy to uniformly monitor and track with so many different approaches out there
Posted by oogabooga68
Member since Nov 2018
27194 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:28 pm to
And when you die, your heroes will list it as Covid....
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52681 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Your post history just gave me cancer.


quote:

TH03


Posted by ashy larry
Marcy Projects
Member since Mar 2010
5582 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

How COVID cases are defined and counted by the CDC


You are over-sensationalizing that. The CDC differentiates Confirmed and Probable cases on their site when they have that data given to them. Not all jurisdictions are reporting the numbers separately. You can go to the site and see for yourself. LINK For most states that report it, it's a small fraction. Here are some numbers. I didn't feel like doing the whole list so I grabbed some on the high and low side.

% of Cases that are 'Probable'
Michigan - is probably the highest at 10%
South Carolina - .4%
Alabama - 2.5%
Colorado - 6.9%
New York City - 2.1%
Miss - 1.4%
Ohio - 5.3%
Illinois - .7%
Massachusetts - 6.4%

Puerto Rico is an outlier. I am pretty sure I remember them having testing issues so I assume that is why.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54881 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

You are over-sensationalizing that.
That doesn't sound right.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61384 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:45 pm to
and, as suspected, I see LA is not separating them out.

And we are to believe the numbers?
Posted by ashy larry
Marcy Projects
Member since Mar 2010
5582 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

and, as suspected, I see LA is not separating them out.

And we are to believe the numbers?


They don't appear to be reporting them to the CDC. They have the actual test information on LDH's site. You can download the spreadsheets. I don't care enough to compare them.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86757 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

You are over-sensationalizing that.




NOT THE OT!
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
61384 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

They have the actual test information on LDH's site. You can download the spreadsheets.


I did, I'm not seeing where they delineate between the two.

I am seeing a major discrepancy of an increase of almost 22% in cases from the census tract summary to the parish summary for the same time frame.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:32 pm to
Damn, I really hurt you at some point if you’re still crying.
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8899 posts
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:42 pm to
but but JBE said this wasn't true.......
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