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Message

re: Home prices will go down this summer as sellers can't postpone listing any longer

Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:24 am to
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
20102 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:24 am to
quote:


Redfin's website says Austin prices are up YoY.

I don't know what to believe.



Once America’s Hottest Housing Market, Austin Is Running in Reverse Home prices have fallen more than anywhere



quote:
But in Austin, according to the Freddie Mac House Price Index, prices have fallen more than 11% since peaking in 2022, the biggest drop of any metro area in the country. “Austin's housing market remains extremely overvalued,” said Matthew Walsh, an economist at Moody's Analytics.


I'd be concerned if I bought in Houston the past 2-3 years.

I just feel like the houses are/were going for far more than they should. I just don't see how those same homes are going to appreciate even further to benefit the current owners down the road.

Just my feeling of course.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12193 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:25 am to
Still short 5 million homes. There isn't enough supply for qualified borrowers who are sitting on sidelines 'waiting' to buy. And friend, if rates do by some miracle go down to 6% or 5.5% you are going to have nothing but a big buyer frenzy clusterfrick at that point and people will be in bidding wars al over again. I'd much rather buy now and get what I want with less competition in a slower market and refinance when appropriate time comes vs entering a market where rates have dropped and you are competing with 20 other people for every home. People are fricking stupid.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12193 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:26 am to
quote:

I just feel like the houses are/were going for far more than they should. I just don't see how those same homes are going to appreciate even further to benefit the current owners down the road.


People have been saying these prices aren't sustainable!!! since 2018. They have been wrong and have lost out on tons of equity and lower rates.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12193 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:27 am to
quote:

Its already happening


Rate cuts? Where? Show me.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37042 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:52 am to
quote:

There isn't enough supply for qualified borrowers who are sitting on sidelines 'waiting' to buy.


This is just within Kansas City proper...3 bed/2 bath for $300k or less...aka "starter homes". The number available obviously expands considerably if you move back to a 2/2 and look a bit further out. Plenty of reasonably priced homes.

This post was edited on 6/12/24 at 9:00 am
Posted by TigerSooner
Member since Nov 2023
3634 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 9:10 am to
It's all part of The Agenda.
Posted by N2cars
Member since Feb 2008
39635 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 9:13 am to
All of this depends on where you are.

Hot markets are still hot, but in just the 2 or 3 I'm familiar with, it does seem like markets are getting more balanced.
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
37042 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 9:22 am to
quote:

All of this depends on where you are.


My point entirely. shite, our median home price here continues to rise, just approaching $425,000. But if I wanted to live in Indianapolis, which is a perfectly nice city, I'd have my pick of the litter of homes $300k or less.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46368 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Will that profit put you in a better house with prices today though?


Our house is paid off, we both have excellent credit and cash in the bank. We would likely move a little further out once our son is gone and finance a much smaller amount with the plan to pay it off within 5-8 years.
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
10851 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 5:12 pm to
In that scenario and because of the summer months being high buying months, I predict no movement in prices. If anything it’s marginal and doesn’t really matter.
Posted by Soft_Parade
North Carolina Coast
Member since Sep 2005
2617 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

All of this depends on where you are.
We sold in Charlotte end of April and purchased in Wilmington (NC) end of May. Both the sale and purchase were off market. If you are in a desirable location within a growing market, valuations will continue to increase or hold steady given the inventory or lack thereof.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19377 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

I'd be concerned if I bought in Houston the past 2-3 years. I just feel like the houses are/were going for far more than they should. I just don't see how those same homes are going to appreciate even further to benefit the current owners down the road. Just my feeling of course.



shite I’d be fine if I bought 3 years ago in Houston.
Posted by Hookah
Member since Nov 2023
349 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

shite I’d be fine if I bought 3 years ago in Houston.


These knuckle draggers are all just coping.

“But could you afford the same home if you sold”. Yes, neck beard, using the 6 figure profit as a down payment.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39856 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:23 pm to
quote:

Home prices will go down
A happy day indeed (if it happens) in the stout household!
Posted by PetroBabich
Donetsk Oblast
Member since Apr 2017
5140 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:32 pm to
So is that better?
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
139417 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:39 pm to
Is a 1% drop really a thing to write an article about?
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11958 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:41 pm to
Yes. People who want to sell aren’t listing yet.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4156 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:41 pm to
THIS stout “housing market crash” prediction will be correct
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
139417 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:00 pm to
I almost bought a piece of land to build on a month ago. Cost was pretty high and I think building is still quite expensive.

I do wonder though, if 2 years from now home sales value would be high or not
Posted by Koach K
Member since Nov 2016
4818 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:15 pm to
The scum banks just need transactions. They don’t give a crap if prices go up or down. They just need lending and more lending and more lending and more.
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