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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:33 pm to nicholastiger
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:33 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
they can throw out every potential scenario and then early next week delete all the wrong models and pick the one closest to landfall to say we predicted it
Don't be silly.
0
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:33 pm to nicholastiger
rds has said there's no chance of predicting where anything goes right now.
I've said the only thing to worry about is if it forms, bc the models aren't likely to have an genesis point correct.
Not time to stress on model runs, especially fricking deterministic runs.
I've said the only thing to worry about is if it forms, bc the models aren't likely to have an genesis point correct.
Not time to stress on model runs, especially fricking deterministic runs.
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:34 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
they can throw out every potential scenario and then early next week delete all the wrong models and pick the one closest to landfall to say we predicted it
This thread must be where the dumbest MFers TD has to offer has decided to meet. You, Tarzana and Chad make TDsNGumbo look like a normal human.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:38 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
This thread must be where the dumbest MFers TD has to offer has decided to meet. You, Tarzana and Chad make TDsNGumbo look like a normal human.
please quit trolling the board and starting trouble. Stick to hurricane related thoughts please.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:42 pm to rds dc
Storm threads are some of the most informative and entertaining on TD. They are a mixture of hard core science (where someone can actually learn something), I read something on the internet one time science, Kill Tony level insults and WWE level drama. Thank you all for delivering.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:44 pm to doubleb
quote:
There is nothing to do right now really, but wait.
But I don't want to wait! I want to know nowwwwwwwwwww!
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:51 pm to lakeviewtiger
The crazy thing about all this is we still have atleast 5 days before it even develops at all
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:53 pm to SWLA92
Has anyone mentioned the 960mb tiny cane entering the Gulf from Cuba at the end of the GFS run?
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:54 pm to TDsngumbo
This board can only handle one storm at at time
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:55 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
How many times has Tampa had a landfall direct hit hurricane? I don't recall any in my lifetime but I'm sure there has been some.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:55 pm to Duke
quote:
Not time to stress on model runs, especially fricking deterministic runs.
So what you're saying is high end cat 4 straight into New Orleans, got it. Doubling the titty milk production as we speak
Posted on 9/19/24 at 1:57 pm to friendlyobservation
Hurricanes don’t hit Tampa
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:15 pm to Mr Roboto
I will say the models seem to favor it being a pretty big system overall
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:17 pm to lsuman25
These storms off a gyre are often big bc the circulation starts pretty big.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:25 pm to baldona
quote:
Cat 4? Where did that come from? I thought that it’s predicted to barely even be a Cat 1 at the strongest?
That’s just based on the pressure from that one run of the GFS. Like I said, it’s going to look different each run. I just posted that for giggles. No one has any sort of clear idea at this point where this system will ultimately go or how strong it will be.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:29 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Tarzana
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:31 pm to lsuman25
quote:
I will say the models seem to favor it being a pretty big system overall
Doesn’t the euro have it just hanging around off the coast of Mexico and not even getting below 1005 mbs?
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Has anyone mentioned the 960mb tiny cane entering the Gulf from Cuba at the end of the GFS run?
LOL that storm just runs along and destroys the entirety of Cuba
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:34 pm to Suntiger
[/url][/img] 12z euro has a strengthening storm at the end of the run 993mb
Posted on 9/19/24 at 2:37 pm to TheFonz
quote:
But I don't want to wait! I want to know nowwwwwwwwwww!
I’m in BR. If I knew with certainty s storm would hit our coast in ten days there is very little I would do now.
Now if I knew with certainty the location and strength and the storm roils track over EBR I might make hotel reservations somewhere safer if it were a monster.
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