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re: Helene - Recovery Begins...Devastating Flash Flooding in Western NC and Eastern TN

Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:37 pm to
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11119 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:37 pm to
That last image. shite is definitely all in one sock now!
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11119 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:39 pm to
O/u on Auburn-OU game getting moved or postponed? Asking for a friend.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:39 pm to
Little green spot surrounded by red...



This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 10:50 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
20233 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:41 pm to
yeah this is bad.. like really bad..
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:42 pm to
I fear people gonna wake up in the morning and be like shite
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4972 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

I honestly don’t follow the PAC storms as much.. I just know pinhole eyes are a really bad thing..


Yeah pinhole eyes are Peak hurricane. Think of an ice skater. When she’s got her arms out she’s not spinning as fast, but as soon as she brings her arms toward her body, she starts spinning rapidly. Same physics with hurricanes. Winds accelerate as the eye shrinks.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75141 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:42 pm to
We'll see shortly if that actually is a pinhole eye forming. That would be rather remarkable if it is considering the size and structure of the eye barely an hour ago. Maybe it is, but I'm doubtful. There was also no wind data to support that rapid of strengthening. The plane left a bit ago, and we don't have one in it now.
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 10:44 pm
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:44 pm to
Yeah it may just be the beginning of clearing out a larger eye in this case.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

Yeah it may just be the beginning of clearing out a larger eye in this case.


Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:46 pm to
Pinhole eye. Explain how the conditions can lead to one happening, how long they can last, how rare they are, and how rapidly strengthening can occur with one (and if that was factored in here)
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:47 pm to
A pinhole would be shocking after what recon showed us.

Yes, I think its starting to cook a little but let's cool down on the IR talk for another hour or two.
Posted by GeauxLSUGRL
Member since Nov 2014
769 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:47 pm to
Sorry but do you have any good suggestions?? I forgot Panama City Beach is a billion miles away from where the track is going. It’s to pass the time. I even looked for Apalachacola cams and none were worth sharing.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83732 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:48 pm to
Honestly that looks amazing, considering it was just a clump of clouds earlier today
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4972 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:49 pm to
Pinholes are usually reserved for cat 5 storms. A cat 1 is still organizing structurally. Take a look at that Wilma pic a few pages back. The thunderstorms are evenly distributed around the eye. There are no weaknesses. Now look at Helene. Helene’s eye is comparably sloppy to Wilma….for now…
This post was edited on 9/25/24 at 10:50 pm
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216467 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:49 pm to
And the water is very warm….
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14298 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:52 pm to
GFS no change in track or timing but 949 mb just offshore from 959 previously.
Posted by LSUneaux
Metairie and MAGA AF
Member since Mar 2014
4972 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

We'll see shortly if that actually is a pinhole eye forming. That would be rather remarkable if it is considering the size and structure of the eye barely an hour ago. Maybe it is, but I'm doubtful. There was also no wind data to support that rapid of strengthening. The plane left a bit ago, and we don't have one in it now.


I agree. This storm is too big. It’s like getting a fat kid to do a somersault.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:53 pm to
Don’t like GFS with the pressure drops…
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43295 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:53 pm to
New plane fixing to take off
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93626 posts
Posted on 9/25/24 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

It’s like getting a fat kid to do a somersault.


Easy!

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