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re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:56 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:56 am to
I'm skeptical of farther west solutions. The developing storm near the Carolinas is weaking the eastern ridge and that allows a weakness for Harvey to drift east into. At some point it'll build back in directing Harvey more north.

It just doesn't make as much sense as a bias to a farther east solution but with the lack of strong steering you can't discount the possibility.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:56 am to
The GFS has been too far West the entire time.
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8742 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:56 am to
Is there anymore news on one of the levees breaking? I believe word came out early this morning about it.
Posted by KLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2003
11191 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:57 am to
Natural gas.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40676 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:57 am to
quote:

s question: Are there any places in Houston that arent under?


Yes, most of it. Just travel is very hard cause the highway system is boned
This post was edited on 8/28/17 at 10:58 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:58 am to
quote:

GFS running now showing now a most western track to the storm which would lessen the impact to SELA

ETA: This is not good for houston at all


I'm not sure what you're seeing. The 12z run of the GFS is east of the 6z run at basically every interval at this point.

That being said, a few miles east or west won't make a difference when you don't know where the bands will set up. The actual path is very important in hindsight, but you can't make a determination on the flooding rains just because it is 60 miles east or west of a previous track.
Posted by speedbump032
The Enterprise
Member since Sep 2015
149 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:58 am to
Just drove N on common to mcneese no rain yet
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:58 am to
Fire is out as HFD put it out. It was at a insurance defense law firm building.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
51419 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Serious question: Are there any places in Houston that arent under?


Plenty of places, but houstons a large city
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91869 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:59 am to
quote:

Is there anymore news on one of the levees breaking? I believe word came out early this morning about it.

99% of "levee breaking" rumors are false. Lake Conroe dam is releasing a ton of water, and the Barker and Addicts reservoirs are/will be releasing water, but no levee failures have been reported with any accuracy.

There are levees that are projected to be overtopped, such as Bay City and areas along the Brazos, but they're not failing from a structural standpoint.
This post was edited on 8/28/17 at 11:00 am
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179707 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 10:59 am to
quote:



Plenty of places, but houstons a large city


hate to ask what the next 12-18" of rain within next 2 days can affect those unaffected thus far.
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3151 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:00 am to
Thanks. I am not familiar with the area so I wasnt sure if it was all low lying or if there were places that are higher
Posted by List Eater
Htown
Member since Apr 2005
23705 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:02 am to
Power back on. Thinking clearly again.
Posted by colorchangintiger
Dan Carlin
Member since Nov 2005
30979 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Just drove N on common to mcneese no rain yet


no rain yet?

wtf

No rain right now, but it's been raining off and on since Thursday. We've gotten 9.65" so far
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:02 am to
quote:

The band currently focused on New Iberia area dropped 3-4" from 9-10AM south of Abbeville. Flash flooding concerns will move east with the band over the next few hours.


Was pretty nasty -- we're south of Abbeville.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40676 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:03 am to
Houston is huge and lot of the flooding is in surrounding cities. The flooding around Houston are street floods or places too close to a bayou, a lot of which haven't flooded before. I am on the first floor of an complex in the upper kirbyish area and never had to worry.
This post was edited on 8/28/17 at 11:04 am
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
63639 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Power back on. Thinking clearly again.


Have to say Centerpoint has been one of the real mvps through this so far

File that under things I never thought I would say also
This post was edited on 8/28/17 at 11:04 am
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76671 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:03 am to
Thank you guys for the info. Good to hear from people who are more familiar with the area.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
33804 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:04 am to
Lookinh on FB, there are still a ton of people that are being rescued, and the water is getting higher. Anyone in Houston or surrounding area that can get out now should do it before the water starts topping levees
Posted by speedbump032
The Enterprise
Member since Sep 2015
149 posts
Posted on 8/28/17 at 11:05 am to
I know sorry had brain fart...meant not at this moment starting to drizzle now
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