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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 8/29/24 at 4:36 pm to deltaland
Posted on 8/29/24 at 4:36 pm to deltaland
I don’t like the setup the Canadian and the Euro is showing. There’s some ridging forecasted forcing it west into the Gulf. Hopefully that changes and it’s able to go out to sea.
1
Posted on 8/29/24 at 4:56 pm to deltaland
Euro AI version takes it to Pecan Island on 9/11
Posted on 8/29/24 at 4:59 pm to rds dc
NOAA, 2024 will have a more active hurricane season
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:01 pm to soccerfüt
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:03 pm to Midtiger farm
Shush. Too close to me. Ljke entirely too close to me.
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:20 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
Euro AI version takes it to Pecan Island on 9/11
The Euro AI has been trash, basically no better than an additional ensemble member. However, that is a viable solution and one that concerns me. If this stays weak and gets in the WCAB, then it could potentially find a pretty good setup over the Gulf.
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:22 pm to SWLA92
quote:
I don’t like the setup the Canadian and the Euro is showing. There’s some ridging forecasted forcing it west into the Gulf. Hopefully that changes and it’s able to go out to sea.
Yeah, both show the Atlantic ridge building in from the West and steering the system towards the Gulf.
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:30 pm to rds dc
Looks like 18Z GFS gonna be back on the devlopment train
Posted on 8/29/24 at 5:42 pm to rds dc
Gonna be fantasty land on GFS but it's gonna spell trouble for someone
Posted on 8/29/24 at 6:06 pm to rds dc
quote:I prefer WBRZ or WAFB.
and gets in the WCAB
Posted on 8/29/24 at 6:41 pm to LSURussian
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms that have become a
little more concentrated near its axis. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph, approaching the Lesser Antilles. The
system is then forecast to continue moving westward to
west-northwestward across portions of the eastern and central
Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
This post was edited on 8/29/24 at 6:44 pm
Posted on 8/29/24 at 6:47 pm to rds dc
quote:
If this stays weak and gets in the WCAB, then it could potentially find a pretty good setup over the Gulf
This story has happened too much since 2018.
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:20 pm to Duke
GFS, Euro, Canadian all trending toward Gulf solution
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:32 pm to deltaland
GFS has a Mississippi-Alabama line point of entry
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:44 pm to deltaland
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:51 pm to wfallstiger
Well this went south quickly
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:51 pm to deltaland
quote:
GFS, Euro, Canadian all trending toward Gulf solution
Posted on 8/29/24 at 7:53 pm to deltaland
quote:
GFS, Euro, Canadian all trending toward Gulf solution
That's not a solution, that's a problem
Posted on 8/29/24 at 8:33 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Well this went south quickly
Technically it went west quickly
Posted on 8/29/24 at 9:01 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
Ida 8/29/21
She can kiss my arse. Was without power for sixteen days
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