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Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:51 am to The Boat
quote:
Along and WEST of the track will see the brunt of this system. Almost 6 inches of rain at the mouth of the Mississippi. 1 inch in Lake Charles. With a Pecan Island landfall in that one output. Almost 0 rain in Texas.
Yall are killing me
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:52 am to The Boat
quote:
Almost 6 inches of rain at the mouth of the Mississippi. 1 inch in Lake Charles. With a Pecan Island landfall in that one output. Almost 0 rain in Texas.
Where is the swath of 6-8" of rain? How much rain for Baton Rouge?
Anyway, 12z GFS is off the rails...
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:53 am to The Boat
Geez 12z GFS down to 973mb with still 12-24 hours over that gulf so far on this run
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:54 am to rds dc
Oh boy, this GFS run is a spicy little fricker…
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:55 am to TDsngumbo
I don’t care for spicy weather.
Chicken yes. Weather no.
Chicken yes. Weather no.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:57 am to tiger91
This looks lovely. I am scheduled to fly back from Europe into NOLA Thursday evening.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:57 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Oh boy, this GFS run is a spicy little fricker…
I am dumb on this stuff so if I am wrong don't shoot me but it appears to show it getting its shite together right before smashing Abbeville
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 10:58 am
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:57 am to rds dc
quote:
Now, there is always the outside chance that the trough is slower and takes on a negative tilt, setting up a longer period of intensification.
The 12z GFS said, "I like those odds"
The trough doesn't go negative, but it slows just enough. Geez.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:58 am to stout
The city could have saved a lot of money and just let this hurricane knock down the building they blew up.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:59 am to SWLA92
quote:
Geez 12z GFS down to 973mb with still 12-24 hours over that gulf so far on this run
This fast intensification has been the norm the last few years. It will be going through water sitting around 85 degrees.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:59 am to The Boat
This GFS run would be Gustav 2.0 for Baton Rouge.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 10:59 am
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:59 am to The Boat
quote:
The city could have saved a lot of money and just let this hurricane knock down the building they blew up.
What building did Abbeville just blow up?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:00 am to stout
quote:
Abbeville
#me
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:01 am to tiger91
You’re on the bingo card, aren’t you? Haven’t seen it referenced yet but ready to break it out.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:02 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:02 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
This GFS run would be Gustav 2.0 for Baton Rouge.
Looks like it's moving pretty fast through Louisiana
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:03 am to stout
Fast or not, that would shred the trees across the Baton Rouge area.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:04 am to stout
quote:
I am dumb on this stuff so if I am wrong don't shoot me but it appears to show it getting its shite together right before smashing Abbeville
Yep. I'm willing to bet it shifts farther East in subsequent model runs.
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