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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:42 am to CleanSlate
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:42 am to CleanSlate
But it isn’t, the NHC track is directly through BR between oak hills and old jefferson
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:42 am to CleanSlate
quote:
It’s going a decent amount east of BR
Depends on if NHC or GRAF wins
It's also not a Cat 3/4/5
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:43 am to sp22
Francine just wants to give Brian Kelly a community motivational tool.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:43 am to LSUFanHouston
I think it’s supposed speed up to 15-16 mph once it turns more north in a couple hours.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:45 am to Duke
quote:
Fox 8 was the best in NOLA when I left a couple years ago.
Surprised to see them dick-riding one model, especially at this point when the path is "follow the direction its currently going to land"
They seem to have gone downhill since Lil' Bob Breck retired.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:45 am to The Boat
We are about to see whether GRAF/HRRR or NHC win.
It is gonna come in maybe 10-20 miles eaat of NHC imo but not what GRAF shows
It is gonna come in maybe 10-20 miles eaat of NHC imo but not what GRAF shows
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:45 am to SWLA92
Yeah hopefully it can get close to at least 15 mph and just get her bitch arse outta here, let the lineman get to work in morning
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:46 am to slackster
The HRRR and most the East models initialize the storm right now as if it’s in the 960’s mb when actually its high 970’s mb. That’s why Fox 8 is going to be wrong. They are using a model that doesn’t have a grasp on the storm right now.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to SWLA92
Mandeville max gust wind prediction just dropped from 52mph to 44. Not a big deal but always like things going in right direction
National Weather Service site
National Weather Service site
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to fifthdeadlyvenom
Fox 8 is weather channel jr. They both went out with my garbage
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to SWLA92
quote:
The HRRR and most the East models initialize the storm right now as if it’s in the 960’s mb when actually its high 970’s mb. That’s why Fox 8 is going to be wrong. They are using a model that doesn’t have a grasp on the storm right now.
don't even look at models right now, just follow radar/satellite. It's close enough
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to slackster
I just read thats it's transitioning to a stronger western side because of the trough. Is that true? We’ll be on the west side of the eye, which doesn’t make me feel as comfortable as I did earlier.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
I thought Byron Allen's media company Allen Media Group owned The Weather Channel?
It's actually a mess now that I look at it - Allen Media Group owns TWC. weather.com is owned and operated by The Weather Company, which was a subsidiary of IBM, and IBM/The Weather Company created the GRAF model. The Weather Company was sold to Francisco Partners, a private equity firm, as of February 2024.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:47 am to tigerskin
quote:
Mandeville max gust wind prediction just dropped from 52mph to 44. Not a big deal but always like things going in right direction
What about abita?
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:48 am to fifthdeadlyvenom
quote:
quote: Fox 8 was the best in NOLA when I left a couple years ago. Surprised to see them dick-riding one model, especially at this point when the path is "follow the direction its currently going to land" They seem to have gone downhill since Lil' Bob Breck retired.
They all got nothing on Nash
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:48 am to SWLA92
12z HMON looks like it initialized well and is going a good bit east of NHC
Posted on 9/11/24 at 11:48 am to gaetti15
Looking at radar can be trippy. It had me convinced it be moving to Kenner brah to wash out the illegals.
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