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Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:25 am to JonTheTigerFan
quote:
quote:further East *farther
I get it. The iPhone and I aren’t English teachers. No further discussion.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:25 am to Cowboyfan89
quote:
Models seem pretty well honed in on an early Thursday landfall for those showing a LA landfall.
Needs to hold this course... Fly out of Htown on Monday and back Tuesday night, don't want to get stuck.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:27 am to rds dc
Can anyone find the Storm surge potential map? Idk if they don’t do it until it becomes a hurricane or what
Trying to see if grand isle will be getting any surge…need to go get my shite if so
Trying to see if grand isle will be getting any surge…need to go get my shite if so
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:29 am to Geaux23
What kind of impacts are expected in SELA? I’m out of town for work this week and supposed to return Thursday afternoon to MSY.
Debating not going and leaving my wife and one year old if this is anything other than a rain maker.
Debating not going and leaving my wife and one year old if this is anything other than a rain maker.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:35 am to Swagga
If it ends up being forecast to go into Cameron, it’s going to go into Vermillion Bay. They always go further east when on this trajectory. Nearly always.
If it goes into Vermillion Bay, sela would have a rough night/day Wednesday night into Thursday morning and I’d be surprised if MSY remained open through that.
In my completely amateur opinion, I’d consider a Cameron to Vermillion Bay forecast landfall to provide for significant impacts in Baton Rouge and NOLA just due to the near fact that they almost always go further east on that trajectory.
If it goes into Vermillion Bay, sela would have a rough night/day Wednesday night into Thursday morning and I’d be surprised if MSY remained open through that.
In my completely amateur opinion, I’d consider a Cameron to Vermillion Bay forecast landfall to provide for significant impacts in Baton Rouge and NOLA just due to the near fact that they almost always go further east on that trajectory.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:37 am to rds dc
Overnight models showed everything from a sloppy TS to a hurricane. The one common theme seems to be a weakening trend as the system approaches landfall.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:41 am to rds dc
You think it gets over a cat1?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:46 am to rds dc
When/ what kind of conditions can the greater metropolitan area of Gonzales expect?
Is it worth going get a couple Mexicans from the Home Depot to board up my house with some 3/4 osb (oriented stran board)
Is it worth going get a couple Mexicans from the Home Depot to board up my house with some 3/4 osb (oriented stran board)
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:48 am to thejudge
quote:
You think it gets over a cat1?
None of the models I saw have it over a Cat1 and only 1 had it even getting to a Cat1
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:48 am to rds dc
quote:
Overnight models showed everything from a sloppy TS to a hurricane. The one common theme seems to be a weakening trend as the system approaches landfall.
Shear gonna get it. A lopsided mess hitting Louisiana would at least be manageable.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:49 am to Oates Mustache
Its just going to be a rainmaker, but looks like its out of LA within 12/24hrs, so shouldn't be terrible.
Just keep that bitch away from Houston bc lord knows, centerpoint can frick up a rain shower after this year.
Just keep that bitch away from Houston bc lord knows, centerpoint can frick up a rain shower after this year.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:52 am to charliemurphy69
quote:
Gonzales
Where is this?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:57 am to rds dc
About twenty miles south east of Baton Rouge Louisiana
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:57 am to Lsut81
This is what I saw.
I've been trying to get better as it's interesting.
I've been trying to get better as it's interesting.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:02 am to rds dc
So even with this thing making landfall between Cameron and Vermillion, most of the business end is going to be on the east side? It’s gonna be one of those lopsided systems?
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:04 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Both of the most recent GFS and EURO ensembles:
Credit Stormcast: https://stormcastforums.com/thread/7069/invest-91l-gulf-mexico?page=19
This is going to be a Southcentral and SELA mess.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 10:06 am
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:04 am to rds dc
quote:
Where is this?
About 15 miles south of br as the 2x4 flies (crow flies)
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:06 am to Lsut81
quote:
None of the models I saw have it over a Cat1 and only 1 had it even getting to a Cat1
The GFS has a cat 2.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:07 am to rds dc
quote:
Where is this?
Just to the west of the greater St. Amant metro area.
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