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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:49 am to Tornado Alley
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:49 am to Tornado Alley
I appreciate the pep talk 
Let me go get on that.
Literally
Let me go get on that.
Literally
0
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:49 am to redneck
quote:
I walked in from moving the generator this morning and the wife had it on. Told her to look at TD if she wants accurate info.
Don’t ever tell the wife to look at TD. Rookie mistake.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:49 am to rds dc
Update
Fairly good news
Still a cat 1 at 90 mph wind
Not much time to Intensify and dry air still hindering
Landfall time @6pm -7pm around Morgan city
Fairly good news
Still a cat 1 at 90 mph wind
Not much time to Intensify and dry air still hindering
Landfall time @6pm -7pm around Morgan city
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 9:52 am
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:50 am to rds dc
10AM CDT advisory:
BULLETIN
Hurricane Francine Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024
...FRANCINE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN IN LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 92.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/1500Z 28.0N 92.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 29.5N 91.5W 80 KT 90 MPH...NEAR COAST
24H 12/1200Z 31.8N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 13/0000Z 34.1N 90.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 13/1200Z 35.2N 90.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 14/0000Z 35.7N 90.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
BULLETIN
Hurricane Francine Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024
...FRANCINE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN IN LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 92.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/1500Z 28.0N 92.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 29.5N 91.5W 80 KT 90 MPH...NEAR COAST
24H 12/1200Z 31.8N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 13/0000Z 34.1N 90.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 13/1200Z 35.2N 90.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 14/0000Z 35.7N 90.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:50 am to Mr Roboto
landfall now later?
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:50 am to Roll Tide Ravens
NHC no longer calling for a Cat 2 at landfall. They were calling 100 mph at landfall on the 4AM advisory.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:50 am to SWLA92
quote:
The new advisory is basically unchanged on track. No “formal changes east”. Some of these local meteorologist have no more business being on tv more than you and me.
They fall victim to those models like many of us, it’s weird. I mean when I first started these things I did too but thanks to Boat, rds, others I learned…
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 9:56 am
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:51 am to SlidellCajun
quote:
Just saw a slight jog East on latest graphic on fox 8.
Meteorologist said at 10am uodate she expects formal eastward shift
New Orleans TV met wishcasting.
Recon even found a slight northern jog on their last pass. Now it will flatten back out into a more NE track but that's showing it's not making any real push east east like they've been saying. The track into Franklin/Patterson/Morgan City has been pretty stable the last two days.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:51 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
NHC no longer calling for a Cat 2 at landfall. They were calling 100 mph at landfall on the 4AM advisory.
NHC reads TD
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:52 am to moneyg
quote:
What's that...about a 15 mile jog to the east of the current track?
Yeah nothing really big, just staring at radar motion and thinking it crosses Point Au Fer rather than closer to the Calumet Cut as they have it.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:53 am to The Boat
quote:
NHC reads TD
have you gotten past the fellatio stage of your meteorological career yet?
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:53 am to The Boat
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:53 am to slackster
quote:
Those frickers at the NHC didn't budge the track one bit
They actually moved it slightly west, despite an opposite trend from the 12z models.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:53 am to Impotent Waffle
To make things worse. Fradella just doubled down saying the track is too far west still. The Graf is calling for 15-20 inches in New Orleans and the HRRR is calling for 90 mph gust. He’s cherry picking models instead of just going with the NHC and the local NWS. Dude is the ultimate clown.
Edit Mr Roboto beat me too it lol
Edit Mr Roboto beat me too it lol
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 9:55 am
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:54 am to slackster
Little jog more N than E in the last 30 minutes, BR not out of the woods.
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:54 am to The Boat
quote:
The track into Franklin/Patterson/Morgan City has been pretty stable the last two days.
which is why it's so annoying people keep complaining about things changing
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:54 am to SWLA92
i've lost a lot respect for fradella throughout this storm event. dude has never really recovered from Ida
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:54 am to gaetti15
quote:
have you gotten past the fellatio stage of your meteorological career yet?
They fellate me
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:54 am to SWLA92
some of these people are as snaky as used car salesmans
Posted on 9/11/24 at 9:55 am to dukke v
quote:
Looks like it’s going right over the top of us as of now… yuck….
Key West in the cone...
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