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3
Posted on 9/6/24 at 1:00 pm to SWLA92
Interesting both HAFS A and HAFS B have this thing getting to Louisiana in 5 days.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 1:08 pm to SWLA92
Well it looks like most experts got this forcast wrong. The front is already starting to push the rain to the east. I don’t see where
All this rain for the Baton Rouge area is gonna come from for today.
All this rain for the Baton Rouge area is gonna come from for today.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 1:09 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 9/6/24 at 1:52 pm to dukke v
quote:
The front is already starting to push the rain to the east. I don’t see where
All this rain for the Baton Rouge area is gonna come from for toda
yea the Thurs morning Hrrr and graf models were mostly correct
The Euro since yesterday afternoon has been flat out pathetic for this current system
Definitely think that the one next week will be at least a TD or TS
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:22 pm to Midtiger farm
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. The
wave is forecast to move over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, where
it will begin to interact with a frontal boundary. A tropical
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week
while the system moves slowly northwestward over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
This post was edited on 9/6/24 at 6:25 pm
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:33 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. The
wave is forecast to move over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, where
it will begin to interact with a frontal boundary. A tropical
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week
while the system moves slowly northwestward over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
This will be interesting b/c it's clearly the vort from 90L that sinks south and merges with the wave moving into the BOC.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:37 pm to rds dc
Gonna be an interesting 4-5 days ahead. Probably little longer than that
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:43 pm to lsuman25
Yeah, some of the hurricane models and ensembles move it back onshore pretty quickly before it can really do anything. Obviously, more time over water would be an issue.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:48 pm to rds dc
Frankenstorm.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:52 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:53 pm to dukke v
quote:RIP IP, fam.
I don’t see where All this rain for the Baton Rouge area is gonna come from for today.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 6:54 pm to FCP
Dude…. Where is all the rain they predicted??? They were saying t storms until after midnight. It just didn’t happen.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:51 pm to rds dc
I'm doubtful that china closed schools for Super Typhoon Yagi today. 
I've seen several videos of people just trying to go about their regular day in 100mph wind and sideways, pressure washer rain. Wild.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. I've seen several videos of people just trying to go about their regular day in 100mph wind and sideways, pressure washer rain. Wild.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:53 pm to dukke v
quote:
Dude…. Where is all the rain they predicted??? They were saying t storms until after midnight. It just didn’t happen.
Terrebonne got pounded.
But the only places that flooded were the usual places that always flood and have poor drainage.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:57 pm to dukke v
2.5” of rain here today. Most of it fell late this afternoon.
Posted on 9/6/24 at 9:05 pm to TDsngumbo
I was watching the Catholic game at Destrehan and they had to delay the game because the turf field started flooding
Posted on 9/6/24 at 11:23 pm to SWLA92
While not strong all of the 00z models are showing Upper Texas Southwestern Louisiana landfall in about 5 days
This post was edited on 9/6/24 at 11:27 pm
Posted on 9/6/24 at 11:44 pm to lsuman25
What does that mean for the LSU/Florida game November 16?
Posted on 9/6/24 at 11:47 pm to lsuman25
Yep it’ll all be about timing there’s a front forecasted to be dropping south, which could hinder the system with dry air. But as of now like you said all the models are in agreement somewhere between Galveston and Vermilion bay could be dealing with a TS/Cat 1 by midweek.
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