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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:53 pm to
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
32059 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:53 pm to
I’ve got a feeling they won’t know shite until this thing gets organized and starts moving. By that time it’ll be in our laps.
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
23018 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:53 pm to
Well I don't like that one bit
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15748 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:53 pm to
going to keep shifting either direction until it finally makes the turn and picks up speed toward the NNE, kinda in limbo right now
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21523 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:53 pm to
The hurricane models derive their initial conditions in part from the GFS. So, it wouldn't be surprising to see some shifts in those 18z runs.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75140 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

You’ll know when the Stone Cold gif makes an appearance

It made an appearance hours ago.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

frick me, right into Morgan City.



You didn't think the bill would come due for nice weather for shrimp and petroleum fest?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

18z GFS is a bit slower, stronger, and east vs. 12z


I wonder if the upper level recon data was plugged into this one?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

You didn't think the bill would come due for nice weather for shrimp and petroleum fest?


What nice weather? Literally only Labor Day was worth a shite.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131569 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
Thats a solid shift east. Wonder if its just a happy hour f you to nola
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11962 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

and by hurricane season '26 you'll be on the bingo card.


Sweet!
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178972 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
Stop wishcasting it went west the end
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
19263 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
That’s a significant shift east. frick me.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:55 pm to
quote:

What nice weather? Literally only Labor Day was worth a shite.



Find you're getting pretty picky for MC
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Thats a solid shift east

From LC to MC with the swiftness
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7991 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:56 pm to
Wasn't the 4pm GFS always the one full of frickery?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21523 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

I wonder if the upper level recon data was plugged into this one?


Partially, plus the recon data from earlier today.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216467 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to
That does not look fun at all.
Posted by jclem11
Chief Nihilist
Member since Nov 2011
9767 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Maaaaannn! That 4pm update got that motherfricker going left a little bit. It better not Tokyo Drift into Houston!


Ban this man! STFU, baw!
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43449 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to
GFS has been arse all season. GRAFS however...

Posted by ticklechain
Forgotten coast
Member since Mar 2018
834 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to
What's it supposed to do after landfall? I'm in the fla panhandle east of Panama City
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