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2
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:57 pm to Jim Rockford
I'll stick to the Euro and GFS, thanks...
LOL at every one posting the wish casting models...
LOL at every one posting the wish casting models...
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:58 pm to Swagga
i thought it went west a bit
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:58 pm to rds dc
Hope y’all got your H ready cause we entering that stage. .23 of H to east
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:59 pm to Magnus
The NHC track has. Those GFS models posted moved east.
Not sure how accurate the GFS models are, you’d have to ask someone more knowledgeable.
Not sure how accurate the GFS models are, you’d have to ask someone more knowledgeable.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 4:59 pm to 50_Tiger
Which one is currently the most "reliable"?
I know 15 years ago people looked at GFS, then Euro seemed to do a better job.
I know 15 years ago people looked at GFS, then Euro seemed to do a better job.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:00 pm to DhanTigers212
18z Model composite
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:00 pm to jmcwhrter
quote:
Wasn't the 4pm GFS always the one full of frickery?
Yes, back in the olden times, it had the least amount of new data of the runs and was notorious for producing ridiculous results. However, while still the least accurate run, it really isn't statistically worse than any other run.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:01 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Seems to vary year to year
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:01 pm to rds dc
18z icon also shift to morgan city
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:02 pm to 50_Tiger
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:02 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Which one is currently the most "reliable"?
I know 15 years ago people looked at GFS, then Euro seemed to do a better job.
Blend the two for steering and upper levels.
Use the hurricane models to try and sus out strength.
This often gets me pretty close to the actual answer.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:02 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
What is GRAF and why doesn't anybody but Rob Perillo care about it?
Rob whiffed on the 2016 floods and has been in doomsday mode ever since. He even shaved his head and lost weight to look more sinister.
The former, less sinister Rob
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:02 pm to rds dc
quote:
#Francine is assuming a much more well-defined structure this afternoon as a vertically aligned vortex develops, with spiral banding wrapping tightly around the circulation center. Central pressure was falling quickly when the last reconnaissance aircraft departed, indicating steady intensification. A new aircraft is en route to assess how things have changed, but the storm is clearly organizing. Folks in the path in #Louisiana should be executing their hurricane plans
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:03 pm to DhanTigers212
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:03 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:04 pm to DhanTigers212
You would be able to see me in the eye of that run
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:04 pm to DhanTigers212
People gonna lose their shite until it hits the 30kt sheer waiting for it at the Louisiana Coast 
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:06 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
First, we couldn't run block, and now this hurricane!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:06 pm to DhanTigers212
Wait what??? That model has it east of BR?!?!?
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