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re: February 2019 Cold blast and southern snow discussion thread

Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:22 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:22 am to
Enjoy the day off.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51578 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:25 am to
quote:

I'll tell you right damn now. The coldest air of the "season" was in early November. That was really something. Yeah we had some lower lows in December, but that November front was the strongest we'll likely see in 2018-19.

This is 100% true. I have no idea why they kept saying this would be the coldest air of the season with a forecast low of 30. I've been scratching my head about that for days now.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53961 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:26 am to
Just getting up, can't wait to see all of the La snow pics
This post was edited on 1/29/19 at 8:26 am
Posted by Box Geauxrilla
Member since Jun 2013
19221 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:29 am to
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5422 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:29 am to
I need to go check in as safe on Facebook.
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Enjoy the day off.


I text my sales guy 2 hours ago about what a nothing burger this turned out to be.

I'm positive that I'll get no replies today because they think I'm going to say let's open up

Enjoy the day off, that Israeli already cured cancer yesterday.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:37 am to
quote:


I'm positive that I'll get no replies today because they think I'm going to say let's open up




Really though, what are you going to do with all that milk and bread if you don't have a day to eat it?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66984 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:38 am to
quote:

And Spann has the audacity to complain about “the haters” that call him out on his bullshite

Yep. Every school shut down in the area. Businesses closed. For. No. Damn. Reason.

He'll praise himself, along with many other meteorologist s, on being able to interpret the computer model data, yet when nothing happens they'll use that same data as an excuse on why they bombed.
It's fairly evident that something was going to be different last night. It was 55 degrees at 11 pm around here. The whole snow forecast was based on it being cold enough first. The 55 was about 5-10 degrees warmer than expected. So, that should have been a major red flag. It was also warmer yesterday afternoon than expected. Another red flag.
But, they just ran along with some over expectations.
Good for ratings, though.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:39 am to
What do you know nothing happened

Yawn
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:41 am to
quote:

And Spann has the audacity to complain about “the haters” that call him out on his bullshite

Yep. Every school shut down in the area. Businesses closed. For. No. Damn. Reason.

He'll praise himself, along with many other meteorologist s, on being able to interpret the computer model data, yet when nothing happens they'll use that same data as an excuse on why they bombed.
It's fairly evident that something was going to be different last night. It was 55 degrees at 11 pm around here. The whole snow forecast was based on it being cold enough first. The 55 was about 5-10 degrees warmer than expected. So, that should have been a major red flag. It was also warmer yesterday afternoon than expected. Another red flag.
But, they just ran along with some over expectations.
Good for ratings, though.


Exactly. He’s no better than any of them, and actually a little worse when he’s on his holier-than-thou kick
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:42 am to
Just wait for James Spann
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61691 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:48 am to
Godspeed my man.

I sit here with kids home from school. They cancel school, but not the baseball scrimmage game tonight. It is going to be wicked cold at the ball park.
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Really though, what are you going to do with all that milk and bread if you don't have a day to eat it?


I bought a gallon of milk last night so I could eat some cereal and put milk in coffee if I was snowed in for a few days.

I'm going to fire up the keurig and pound coffee for the next few hours until my heart blows up or I get stuck on the toilet for the rest of the day.

#fakesnowday
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 8:54 am to
quote:

It's fairly evident that something was going to be different last night. It was 55 degrees at 11 pm around here. The whole snow forecast was based on it being cold enough first.


So by 11 pm, after everything had decided to be closed, it looked like it might be off? That's real helpful.

Everyone missed from the NWS to the TV guys. The logic was sound for why there would be snow, the models were there. It wasn't apparent until last night something was off, after the prep and decisions to close had been made.

quote:

they just ran along with some over expectations.
Good for ratings, though.


NWS was bumping snow totals yesterday afternoon. TV goes way low, against the NWS and misses and it's a god damn traffic nightmare travesty. Go too high, following the NWS and it's a god damn travesty because people didn't go to work.

Southern snow, near the freezing line, with mositure and cold timing questionable has a lot of bust potential.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95090 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:02 am to
For the record, I follow 2 different meteorologists on social media that I can take somewhat seriously. I know half of you know Zack Fradella, but I also follow Larry Cosgrove. Both of whom really don’t feed much bullshite.

They’re both saying it’s the next system that has a better possibility of frozen precip. A CHANCE. Didn’t say it was going to happen becuase it’s too far out. That was a few days ago. They may have changed their stance since then.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66984 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:02 am to
quote:

So by 11 pm, after everything had decided to be closed, it looked like it might be off? That's real helpful.

I can't understand, especially in today's media world with instant access, that decision to close is done a day in advance.
Very easily schools,etc. can decide to close with a decision made at 5-6 this morning and everyone would know about it.
Just asinine to make the call yesterday
Posted by MrLarson
Member since Oct 2014
34984 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Southern snow, near the freezing line, with mositure and cold timing questionable has a lot of bust potential.


Here is the thing.

99% of the population isn't splitting the atom or curing cancer.

One day off is no big deal. Here is the factor, demanding employees to commute on possible closed roads is a huge liability for companies.

Insurance will not cover your vehicle on a closed road. Employee sues employer for requiring them to work(if they wreck).

Take the day off. It's that simple.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18053 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:05 am to
Yeah there's just such a fine line.
Temp is 33 and moisture is less than thought? Complete bust.
Temp is 31 (and lower up through the column) with more moisture? Huge event.
1,000' thick layer that's 2 degrees higher than expected? Freezing rain disaster.
Being off by 1 or 2 degrees, or .1" PWAT, or a few millibars means everything.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:07 am to
Agree. It never got cold enough in Tuscaloosa
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9102 posts
Posted on 1/29/19 at 9:07 am to
We've got lake effect snow bands hitting here this morning, 1" per hour. Still estimated 10-18" with 45mph wind gusts and the -25*F windchills. This is one day i don't mind being at work
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