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re: February 2019 Cold blast and southern snow discussion thread

Posted on 1/27/19 at 11:02 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/27/19 at 11:02 pm to
quote:

I really hope Dr. Josh says no sneaux like last year. Mr. Smarty Pants was 4+ inches WRONG...Do it again Dr. Weather!!!


That was one of the most baffling forecasts I've seen. The Euro and Canadian had been on board for days and consistent. GFS had finally came to that solution. All of them had snow for the area. The NWS had it in the forecast by this point.

There was hesitation over the "warm nose" but all the tools and official forecasts showed it going away and some snow falling.

So why go against such a good consensus on the side of no impacts to the area vs how south Louisiana handles snow?

Winter weather is a tough forecast, especially when you're playing right at the freezing mark. I appreciate that there are going to be misses, but fricking miss high if you're going to deviate much from the NWS.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 6:26 am to
Here’s the updated forecast from James Spann and the Alabama Weather Blog Network
LINK
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
45301 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 6:31 am to
NOLA channel 8 just said maybe a few,flakes north of I-12 but nothing the city itself. 6 am or so is the eta for the front/sleet/snow.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 6:41 am to
We’re suppose to get 2-3”
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 6:56 am to
Well, no snow here would be a big disappointment.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25942 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 7:14 am to
quote:

Well, no snow here would be a big disappointment.

noaa has backed of wintry precip for BR area.

but you never know...
This post was edited on 1/28/19 at 7:14 am
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9964 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 7:21 am to
boom of five inches for Birmingham.
Posted by carhartt
Member since Feb 2013
8362 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 7:22 am to
Shreveport is getting between 0-85 inches of snow and the high will be somewhere between 35-72 today.

Damn, I should have been a Meteorologist.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25942 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 7:48 am to
quote:

That was one of the most baffling forecasts I've seen. The Euro and Canadian had been on board for days and consistent. GFS had finally came to that solution. All of them had snow for the area. The NWS had it in the forecast by this point.

Yeah that was the greatest combination of dumbassery and arrogance I've ever seen.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:13 am to
Nice!
Posted by Nicky Parrish
Member since Apr 2016
7098 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:19 am to
quote:

NOLA channel 8 just said maybe a few,flakes north of I-12 but nothing the city itself. 6 am or so is the eta for the front/sleet/snow.

I’d believe what ever Shelby Latino says.
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:26 am to
quote:

We’re suppose to get 2-3”




Weather.com app is backing off it.

We ain’t gon get shite
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:40 am to
Those apps don’t work right
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117554 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:43 am to
We are going to get nothing but stupid useless cold
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 8:53 am to
Yeah, don't trust weather apps. They're just giving you model data. It's not like they have people building these forecasts for them.

Also, yeah BR and South Louisiana, it's not looking promising for snow. But also, it never really was.

quote:

Damn, I should have been a Meteorologist.



Good at solving second order partial differential equations are ya?
This post was edited on 1/28/19 at 9:00 am
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147999 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 9:06 am to
quote:

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CST TUESDAY FOR RAPIDES PARISH AND AVOYELLES PARISH... ...Light Snow expected across portions of Central Louisiana, and total snow accumulations of up to one inch are expected in the advisory area... The tail end of an arctic cold front will move through central Louisiana overnight Monday into Tuesday morning with rain changing over to snow for a brief period of time. Accumulations of up to one inch will be possible in the advisory area, especially on elevated surfaces. This may cause hazardous driving conditions, especially on elevated roadways, bridges, and overpasses. Any accumulated snow is expected to melt by mid-morning Tuesday as temperatures rise further above freezing.







quote:

NWS Lake Charles @NWSLakeCharles
Good morning all. We will be conducting a Facebook live briefing at 10:00 AM this morning to discuss the latest on the possible winter weather across the area tonight and Tuesday morning. See you at 10. ~ Donald
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 9:13 am to
Pretty much where I thought those would start lining up. I'm glad you'll likely get a little snow rt3. Also, kind of glad to miss it here. If it's not going to be a 4" type event, is it really worth having everything shut down?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147999 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 9:13 am to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147999 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Pretty much where I thought those would start lining up. I'm glad you'll likely get a little snow rt3. Also, kind of glad to miss it here. If it's not going to be a 4" type event, is it really worth having everything shut down?

I haven't heard any talk of anything shutting down here yet honestly

like I said... I just want enough to see a few flakes fall and coat the roofs & grass to make everything wintry aesthetically pleasing

if I'm gonna freeze my nuts off... at least make it pretty
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/28/19 at 9:21 am to
BR and our bridges mean freezing precip is an everything is shut down kind of situation. If we have to deal with that, better last December and the 4" vs last January's brutal cold and a pile of graupel.
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