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Message

re: Fannie Mae Downgrades Housing, Origination Forecast

Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:31 am to
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38620 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:31 am to
Saw a place sell for $1.2m last month. 4,635 sf TL.
Posted by yaboidarrell
westbank
Member since Feb 2017
5399 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:37 am to
Homes in Central City New Orleans are going for over $200/sq ft. At a time when people are getting carjacked left and right and hurricane season is right around the corner. It doesn't make any sense.
Posted by SantaFe
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2019
6610 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:38 am to

2x4x8 southern yellow pine stud dropped by 50 cents this week.
Posted by 3nOut
Central Texas, TX
Member since Jan 2013
29027 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Seems like now is the time for newer home owners who financed an ARM to refi at a lowest rate fixed.


I know that ARMs CAN be beneficial. Most people who got ARMs weren’t going to qualify for the better rates that’s have been available the last few years.

My friend is a mortgage broker and he’s very rarely getting under 6% for people right now.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64843 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:40 am to
quote:

Millennials the only generation about to go through TWO significant economic hardships


The economy tanked even steeper in 1920-21 than it did in 1929. But in the 1920 downturn we had a true conservative president who didn’t interfere with the economy. He cut spending and cut taxes. The result was the economy quickly rebounded. So Rapid was the recovery, few people today even realize the economy totally collapsed at the start of the 20s.

In 1929 we had a progressive president (yes, Hoover was a progressive despite having an (R) next to his name) followed by an even more progressive president in Roosevelt. They tried to control the economy and tax and spend the way out of the downturn. The result was the decade long Great Depression.

Sadly, we as a people have failed to grasp the lessons to be learned from these historical events.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38620 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:41 am to
quote:

2x4x8 southern yellow pine stud dropped by 50 cents this week.



Lumber took a significant dip the past week.
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
7348 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:42 am to
The analysts/planners at our company believe that we will be fine because our customers are not as price sensitive as other groups. Translation, our shite is incredibly expensive and the people who buy it don't even think about economic downturns.

If I can keep a job and there are some price drops on houses this may be best case scenario for me.
Posted by sawtooth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2017
3588 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:44 am to
quote:

The dream of homeownership for many young people is drying up


I hate this phrase.

It means that many will have to “settle” for a smaller starter home versus a McMansion.

My only concern is that the Fed is not raising interest rates enough and this economic mess will drag on longer. They are also doing nothing to address our national deficit.
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36646 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:46 am to
quote:


Millennials are the only generation that will have ever done that. Millennials have it so bad.


What year were you born?
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36734 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Quit trying to live in trendy areas.


Houses are going for 300k+ in the Fifth ward in Houston. That is a stone throw from rail yards and oil tankers. It is not the most violent part of Harris county but it is up there.

Moving to burbs is not much better. The established ones are already priced up. The newer ones could be ghetto in 10 years

If you can afford a "trendy" area, it was the safest investment
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36646 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:49 am to
quote:


I hate this phrase.

It means that many will have to “settle” for a smaller starter home versus a McMansion.


No. It means the starter home you could have bought for $150-200k 3 years ago is now $275k.

quote:


My only concern is that the Fed is not raising interest rates enough


Don't they still have another 10 or so hikes planned by end of next year? Sounds like they want half point increases for every one.
This post was edited on 6/2/22 at 8:51 am
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167544 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Millennials are about to live through yet ANOTHER "once in a lifetime" economic downturn.




Yea no one that had to live through Jimmy Carter was alive in 2007. Only poor Millenials have it so rough.
Posted by Tyger32
Member since Dec 2015
483 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Millennials/Boomers/Gen X


Can we stop with this BS…we are all people and everyone is going through crap!
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
64757 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:52 am to
quote:



I hate this phrase.


Well tough shite.

quote:


It means that many will have to “settle” for a smaller starter home versus a McMansion.


Sometimes it's better to just not allow your thoughts to be released to the rest of the world. This is one of those times
Posted by El Segundo Guy
SE OK
Member since Aug 2014
9657 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:53 am to
1975
Posted by El Segundo Guy
SE OK
Member since Aug 2014
9657 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:55 am to
No kidding. They make comments obviously craving validation that the Millenial generation is in such bad shape through no fault of their own.

Well here's your validation Millenials. Yes, you have had it so much worse than us Gen Xers that tend to keep our mouths shut and deal with it.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38620 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:55 am to
quote:

No. It means the starter home you could have bought for $150-200k 3 years ago is now $275k.



DR Horton will be putting up new signs in front their developments monthly if this keeps us.
Posted by AUCom96
Alabama
Member since May 2020
5049 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:56 am to
Two big home builder groups in this area are clearcutting every bit of land they can get their hands on building these 500k poorly built massive boxes of houses. Older homes are going for nearly twice what they were five years ago. Every new sale is contingent in a week, usually with double digit bids.

This many millennials didn't just crawl out of their parent's basement with half a mil to dump on a new house. This thing is being driven and it's going to crash...which has a lot in common with enough other economic factors moving in the same direction that it can't help but feel intentional.
This post was edited on 6/2/22 at 8:57 am
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
25403 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:57 am to
Fannie is trying to put pressure on the Fed to slow down. JP Morgan's CEO had a similar message yesterday.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40240 posts
Posted on 6/2/22 at 8:57 am to
Housing is being treated like stocks currently. I wonder how many loans are for primary residential.
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