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re: Dutch Healthcare Worker COVID Statistics

Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:48 am to
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:48 am to
I still don’t understand why people want to try to compare it to the flu as evidence of why we should open the economy.

It’s irrelevant. If the mortality rate was 3% should we all stay home for another year? No, so why is that the main talking point?

The only thing that was ever a concern and was ever in our control was if the hospitals became overwhelmed. The areas where that didn’t happen should have continued as usual.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46755 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:48 am to
quote:

2 weeks behind Italy?


We'll forever be two weeks behind Italy.

Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70474 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:49 am to
quote:

2 weeks behind Italy?




I was thinking people get out and about, spread virus. 10-14 day incubation time, people get sick and die a couple weeks later
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88462 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:49 am to
quote:

I still don’t understand why people want to try to compare it to the flu
Says the guy who tried to use flu comparisons (AT LEAST TEN TIMES AS DEADLY!!!1!) as a legit reason to shut down the economy.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Says the guy who tried to use flu comparisons (AT LEAST TEN TIMES AS DEADLY!!!1!) as a legit reason to shut down the economy.


Link?

I was laughed at when I predicted the shutdowns.

I only ever advocated for quarantining areas where the hospitals were about to be overrun. Everything else business as usual.

I never used mortality rate as a reason to shut anything down.
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 8:56 am
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41927 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Another one who has been horribly wrong from the start.



What, specifically, was I wrong about? I don't believe I made any death predictions.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:00 am to
quote:

I was thinking people get out and about, spread virus. 10-14 day incubation time, people get sick and die a couple weeks later
We can't stay locked down in perpetuity. The unfortunate fact is that until a vaccine or herd immunity is achieved some people are going to die.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24485 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:02 am to
quote:

still don’t understand why people want to try to compare it to the flu as evidence of why we should open the economy.


Because people get scared of the un known and the flu is known.

Comparing it to the flu is very valid, it’s one of the only things we know well and are comfortable with.

Let’s compare actual deaths from Covid to actual flu deaths. Tons of people in places like nursing homes die with the flu every year that aren’t earmarked as the flu like Covid is. The flu also has a vaccine that prevents many people from getting it or reducing symptoms. If we didn’t have a flu vaccine, how bad would the flu be?

The reality is they are different but similar enough comparisons can be made to humanize it to a point people are comfortable living with it.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:05 am to
quote:

The reality is they are different but similar enough comparisons can be made to humanize it to a point people are comfortable living with it.


Ok I agree with that

But it comes off as if there is a level of mortality where shutting down the entire country is acceptable. That opens the door for the possibility of it being much worse than the flu and people arguing that we need to keep it shut down.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
49213 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

ETA: and now Sao is throwing a bitch fit because he can’t handle being called out for being wrong.
Dude used to be a pretty good poster, if you can believe that. He had some pretty good responses, usually only a sentence or two, that were pretty funny.

Ever since sometime towards the end of 2016, he completely changed. I'm not sure what happened then that could have made him change so much. Hmmmmmm.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41927 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Ronaldo Burgundiaz


Care to amend you average flu deaths screed or you just going to ignore that like a little bitch?
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Maybe not anymore since it’s obvious they were completely wrong from the start. It’s interesting that I haven’t seen WaWaWeeWa or Malik Agar posting nearly as much as they were toward the beginning of the outbreak.


go back to the death projections thread before all of this really started and 99% of OT posters underestimated deaths

by a lot too

there were only a small handful of doomers and still are

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:



I mean...we're still shut down

Seems like doomers are still kinda winning


That's not called winning. Its called losing purposefully.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:21 am to
quote:

Care to amend you average flu deaths screed or you just going to ignore that like a little bitch?
I picked the latest year available, figured you would nitpick that if I picked another year. There are multiple years in the past decade where the top end estimate of flu was over 60,000. And some that were 30,000. I'm not pulling out a calculator, maybe we can call 45,000 an average? Or, maybe go frick yourself?

The only person being a little bitch is you. You are just angry that COVID isn't as deadly as you wanted it to be.
Posted by QJenk
Atl, Ga
Member since Jan 2013
17821 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:21 am to
quote:

2 weeks behind Italy


Why was this insane? We did not start hitting our highest peaks in daily deaths until about, you guessed it, 2 weeks after Italy.

quote:

Millions dead in the US


I might be wrong, but I believe most of the extremely high predictions for this were worst case scenarios if were to never shutdown a single thing. If we pretended that Covid was not a thing and this was just another flu season. We very well could have seen death numbers much much higher. Thankfully it was not the case.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86738 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:22 am to
quote:

That's not called winning. Its called losing purposefully.


thanks for the clarification, Rog
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Ever since sometime towards the end of 2016, he completely changed. I'm not sure what happened then that could have made him change so much. Hmmmmmm.


Early November, specifically.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41927 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:24 am to
quote:

I picked the latest year available, figured you would nitpick that if I picked another year. There are multiple years in the past decade where the top end estimate of flu was over 60,000. And some that were 30,000. I'm not pulling out a calculator, maybe we can call 45,000 an average? Or, maybe go frick yourself?


That's weird, the CDC has data from 2018-2019. Convenient you picked the year before, which was the worst flu season in decades as your baseline average.

quote:

The only person being a little bitch is you.


Sorry for calling out your fake news, snowflake.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:27 am to


ETA: This is what happens when the Federal government offers to pay 20% more for COVID and presumptive COVID patients.

Needless to say, the current level of 64,000 COVID deaths is VERY spurious.
This post was edited on 5/1/20 at 9:31 am
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/1/20 at 9:38 am to
quote:

thanks for the clarification, Rog


You're very welcome. My generosity knows no bounds..
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