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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:14 am to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:14 am to LegendInMyMind
Eye trying to clear out...
2
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:15 am to LSURussian
quote:
I’d like to make a suggestion for this thread and all hurricane threads moving forward. We need more Stephanie abrams in between advisories.
Damn, I would bite that arse, get lockjaw and get dragged to death happily.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:16 am to NorthEndZone
It definitely looks "better" this morning, too.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:17 am to CE Tiger
Yep moved from the overpass in Welsh to the overpass between Welsh and Lacassine lol
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:18 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
The governor said that 1/3 of storms leave the cone. I've know that for while but for a person in a leadership role in the government to come out and admit it should make some people finally open their eyes.
The cone is meaningless.
The cone's meaning is buried right in your first sentence - it's where the storm is most likely to go.
The governor though is 50% full of shiite though. In theory that 33% chance of a cone miss is split - 16.5% chance it misses East, and 16.5% chance it misses West. Using the "33% chance it misses the cone" to scare folks in New Orleans/Baton Rouge into thinking there's still a 33% chance it hits them is a misuse of that statistic.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:18 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
The cone is meaningless.
It’s literally going to make landfall within the cone that was posted before this thing was even in the gulf and south of Jamaica
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:18 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:That is your take-a-way on this? We should just do away with it then!
The cone is meaningless.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:19 am to lsufan1971
Laura size:
Hurricane winds extend 60 miles out
Tropical Storm winds 205 miles out
Delta current size (projected to grow):
Hurricane winds extend 35 miles
Tropical storm winds extend 125 miles
Hurricane winds extend 60 miles out
Tropical Storm winds 205 miles out
Delta current size (projected to grow):
Hurricane winds extend 35 miles
Tropical storm winds extend 125 miles
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:20 am to rds dc
I’ve hardly ever been through a hurricane during the day, here we are agin at nighttime landfall
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:21 am to DaBeerz
I heading down to Delcambre. Going make a pass on Ms. Abrams. Shooters shoot baby
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:23 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
to the "e" in Lake Charles
there's 2 "e"s in Lake Charles
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:23 am to ABucks11
quote:
Laura size:
Hurricane winds extend 60 miles out
Tropical Storm winds 205 miles out
Delta current size (projected to grow):
Hurricane winds extend 35 miles
Tropical storm winds extend 125 miles
Wow. Baton Rouge barely got anything from Laura so if we're supposed to get Steve Caparotta's 60-80mph gusts, Delta is going to need to triple in size.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:24 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
Eye trying to clear out...
Looks like it
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:25 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Laura size:
Hurricane winds extend 60 miles out
Tropical Storm winds 205 miles out
Delta current size (projected to grow):
Hurricane winds extend 35 miles
Tropical storm winds extend 125 miles
plus Laura was strengthening upon arrival this one will be losing strength upon landfall, so that is some good news !
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:25 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Baton Rouge barely got anything from Laura so if we're supposed to get Steve Caparotta's 60-80mph gusts, Delta is going to need to triple in size.
The way Deltas track curves, it is currently forecasted to be 35 miles closer to BR than Laura. NHC track is west of GFS model which is showing 60-65mph gusts in BR.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 10:26 am
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:25 am to DaBeerz
What does 00z, 06z, 12z, and 18z mean?
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:26 am to thadcastle
midnight, 6am, noon, 6pm
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:26 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I went and found the pic of the curtains from the Smithville, MS tornado:
Damn, I've never seen it that subtle before, that's crazy.
Mind if I share that pic with some construction buddies?
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:27 am to thadcastle
Posted on 10/8/20 at 10:27 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
The governor said that 1/3 of storms leave the cone.
he's 100% correct
quote:
Cones of uncertainty issued by the National Hurricane Center are accurate about two thirds of the time. They are drawn with the expectation that the entire track of the center of a tropical cyclone will remain inside the cone two times out of three.
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