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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:13 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20618 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:13 am to
It's hard to say for sure without recon but Delta looks to be organizing relatively quickly.

Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39356 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:16 am to
Gamma is not where it’s supposed to have been it seems. More interaction with Gamma means a more Western track is likely. Worth noting the HWRF and HMON have this as much weaker at the 6z runs
Posted by Yaboylaroy
Member since Mar 2010
1836 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:25 am to
I’m supposed to fly out to the Ship Shoal area on Wednesday. Looking highly unlikely at this point. The last few weeks of hurricane prep, evacuation and re-manning our platforms has been a mess.
Posted by CypressTrout10
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2016
3103 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:33 am to
Am I seeing a westward shift in models this morning?
Posted by Mr. Misanthrope
Cloud 8
Member since Nov 2012
6073 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:36 am to
quote:

Duke

Excepting the forecast strength, not too dissimilar from Hilda in 1964.
They sure seem to have an uncanny ability to steer a course through a channel or passage and keep themselves over open water.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:39 am to
Guess it is time to stock up on beer, milk and gas for the genset.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
61404 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:43 am to
Even this far out it’s tracking towards Miss/Bama/Florida

This thing probably ends up with a panhandle landfall by the time it’s all said and done.
Posted by nated14
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2009
920 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:46 am to
looks like I should get my Rv out of Grand Isle before the rush.....Again
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
14017 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:46 am to
quote:

This thing probably ends up with a panhandle landfall by the time it’s all said and done.

Yep. Ft Walton Beach is my guess.
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
27431 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:49 am to
SOB. We’re supposed to fly to Tampa Thursday for a Saturday wedding.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:56 am to
quote:

Even this far out it’s tracking towards Miss/Bama/Florida


What does this even mean? Flat out wrong for the time being
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
94368 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Am I seeing a westward shift in models this morning?


What kind of westward shift?
Posted by sealawyer
Coonassganistan
Member since Nov 2012
3142 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:01 am to
quote:

What kind of westward shift?


Are we talking an H or an L shift. Or half an H?
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 8:02 am
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43473 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:01 am to
quote:

Ft Walton Beach is my guess.


technically it's in the current cone of uncertainty, so you could wind up right, but that seems pretty unlikely given the current consensus for the track in modeling.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
40701 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:03 am to
If this thing hits out of season will insurance companies be liable for covering damages? Or would they have to cover it without the named storm deductible? It could be a good thing I guess.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 8:07 am
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18180 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:06 am to
grats man - the wife and I were married 7 years ago this Monday - outdoor as well, and a Cat 3 was supposed to come into Mobile that day.

feel your pain man
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
42051 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:06 am to
Havent seen models agree like this, this far out.


Will Gamma naked swirl have any interaction with this?
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to
Where are we on the Beanee Weenee meter?


Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to
quote:

out of season


Check your calendar bub. It’s still hurricane season for another month and a half
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to
not a big rain event. as long as this stays as a quick moving strong cat 1 we will be okay my guy
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