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Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:16 am to rds dc
Gamma is not where it’s supposed to have been it seems. More interaction with Gamma means a more Western track is likely. Worth noting the HWRF and HMON have this as much weaker at the 6z runs
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:25 am to Potchafa
I’m supposed to fly out to the Ship Shoal area on Wednesday. Looking highly unlikely at this point. The last few weeks of hurricane prep, evacuation and re-manning our platforms has been a mess.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:33 am to rmnldr
Am I seeing a westward shift in models this morning?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:36 am to Duke
quote:
Duke

Excepting the forecast strength, not too dissimilar from Hilda in 1964.

They sure seem to have an uncanny ability to steer a course through a channel or passage and keep themselves over open water.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:39 am to Mr. Misanthrope
Guess it is time to stock up on beer, milk and gas for the genset. 

Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:43 am to Mr. Misanthrope
Even this far out it’s tracking towards Miss/Bama/Florida
This thing probably ends up with a panhandle landfall by the time it’s all said and done.
This thing probably ends up with a panhandle landfall by the time it’s all said and done.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:46 am to rds dc
looks like I should get my Rv out of Grand Isle before the rush.....Again
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:46 am to The Pirate King
quote:
This thing probably ends up with a panhandle landfall by the time it’s all said and done.
Yep. Ft Walton Beach is my guess.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:49 am to tilco
SOB. We’re supposed to fly to Tampa Thursday for a Saturday wedding.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:56 am to The Pirate King
quote:
Even this far out it’s tracking towards Miss/Bama/Florida
What does this even mean? Flat out wrong for the time being
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:00 am to CypressTrout10
quote:
Am I seeing a westward shift in models this morning?
What kind of westward shift?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:01 am to Prominentwon
quote:
What kind of westward shift?
Are we talking an H or an L shift. Or half an H?
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 8:02 am
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:01 am to tilco
quote:
Ft Walton Beach is my guess.
technically it's in the current cone of uncertainty, so you could wind up right, but that seems pretty unlikely given the current consensus for the track in modeling.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:03 am to Hulkklogan
If this thing hits out of season will insurance companies be liable for covering damages? Or would they have to cover it without the named storm deductible? It could be a good thing I guess.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 8:07 am
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:06 am to Uncle JackD
grats man - the wife and I were married 7 years ago this Monday - outdoor as well, and a Cat 3 was supposed to come into Mobile that day.
feel your pain man
feel your pain man
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:06 am to Mr. Misanthrope
Havent seen models agree like this, this far out.
Will Gamma naked swirl have any interaction with this?
Will Gamma naked swirl have any interaction with this?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to rds dc
Where are we on the Beanee Weenee meter?


Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
out of season
Check your calendar bub. It’s still hurricane season for another month and a half
Posted on 10/5/20 at 8:08 am to fishfighter
not a big rain event. as long as this stays as a quick moving strong cat 1 we will be okay my guy
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