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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:54 pm to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:54 pm to
This is a spicy meatball for Lafayette and Baton Rouge



Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21479 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:54 pm to
Upper air recon nearly completed, some of that data made it into 18z runs but the full batch should be in the 00z runs. Also, there were extra balloon launches across the Southern Plains to add an extra round of data. Upper air is sampling the ridge and extra balloons are sampling the upper trough. How those two interact will determine when and where Delta turns north.

Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22290 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:55 pm to
State line landfall
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:55 pm to
FML
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78302 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

State line landfall


Which state line?
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:57 pm to
That looks better for Lafayette than previous models or am I stupid?
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
17543 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:57 pm to
I’m in lafayette and riding this one out. Will give updates if it does in fact come this way
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13663 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:58 pm to
Yeah I’m not seeing that, but I hope you’re right .
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

That looks better for Lafayette than previous models or am I stupid?


It does look better for laffy.

Looks bad for New Iberia to Morgan City and Baton Rouge
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
17543 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:59 pm to
I think new Iberia is going to get the brunt of this one
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

That looks better for Lafayette than previous models or am I stupid?


It only needs a 25-50 mile shift from that in 3.5 days so I wouldn't be relieved yet. It's looking pretty likely either Lafayette or Baton Rouge is going to take it right in the chops.
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
17543 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 7:59 pm to
And cypremort point is going to get flattened
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:00 pm to
Note: this is from 12z today, wait til the new one in the morning.

quote:

@AndyHazelton

COAMPS has been consistently suggesting a weakening/steady period prior to the Yucatan, with significant intensification occurring in the Gulf of Mexico. Gonna be really interesting to see what happens.


This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 8:04 pm
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

As trivial as it seems, everything else can be replaced. Trophy mounts, grandparents china, photos, journals can’t. Make every effort to save them.


Exactly. I remember Katrina evacuees telling us that their baby blankets were up in the trees .. then when Rita came I was like oh but no .. find the ones made by granny & nana.

When we evacuated for Hurricane Rita, my kids even packed their LSU autographed pics. My husband looked at my loaded car and asked if I truly needed all of it.

I looked at him and asked if he needed to take all of his guitars.

Not another word was said and everyone was happy.
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:00 pm to
Yeah, I'm not comfortable at all. I was just responding to your comment. Making sure I wasn't missing anything.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

And cypremort point is going to get flattened



They usually get hit hard no matter what. But this may be the final blow
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

Which state line?

plot twist


Louisiana/Mississippi


Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177204 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:01 pm to
quote:



He forgot to uncheck the "make it go through New Orleans" gag box on the inputs.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:02 pm to
I'm praying that the nursing home where I work has a plan for their people ... but I can say that they've evacuated before to Many (a sister facility) and it was a cluster. Now, with Covid, just ugh.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
10900 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 8:02 pm to
whoa!

frick THAT TRACK!
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