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Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:52 am to rds dc
quote:
quote:
3k NAM
12z 3k NAM looks realistic, given the setup. It might be a bit overdone, but there will likely be a narrow band of heavy snow across South Louisiana. There will be warm air advection across South Louisiana - Red Shading (that will drive a warm nose over coastal areas), and there will be strong frontogenesis -Purple Lines (that is indicative of strong forcing for snow production). Smaller scale processes will drive the final location of the warm nose and the best snow production, and the global models can't resolve these. The HRRR and 3k NAM are probably your best bets moving forward, and even they will struggle with the final placement.
LINK
Given the above and the 12z Euro QPF below, 4-6" looks almost locked in for those along and north of I10/12. South of there will see more moisture but likely will mix with sleet. If the warm layer above the surface is stronger than expected then sleet mixing will push farther north, if it's weaker, then some bigger snow totals in the south. Good luck everyone
[
Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:53 am to ApisMellifera
Where is the best place to go skiing in Baton Rouge tomorrow, or snowboarding? LSU Hilltop Arboretum/Highland Road Park Observatory?
This post was edited on 1/20/25 at 11:57 am
Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:54 am to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
You just pissed off a bunch of Houston baws with this post. It shows less than an inch there.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:56 am to LaBR4
quote:
Where is the best place to go skiing in Baton Rouge tomorrow, or snowboarding
The LSU levees where they have the paved jogging track? Those are pretty steep.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:57 am to SWLA92
quote:
I think I read 10:1, but rds cd can verify that
That’s what the model uses but not necessarily what actually happens. For instance, on the front range they had a ratio closer to 20:1
Posted on 1/20/25 at 11:58 am to sledgehammer
quote:
The LSU levees where they have the paved jogging track? Those are pretty steep.
This post was edited on 1/20/25 at 11:59 am
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:00 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:That's water precip, not snow.
You just pissed off a bunch of Houston baws with this post. It shows less than an inch there.
Snow could be 10:1 or 20:1 ratio.
half inch of water = 5 or 10 in of snow
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:02 pm to bayoubengals88
My bad, my bad. I was only breezing through posts. Ok Houston baws, forgive me.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:05 pm to Oates Mustache
It still means less for us. South and east of Houston look to get more.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:20 pm to LSURoss
quote:
Wind shifted and the sun is gone. See yall on the other side!
in Lafayette too. Think we only hit 36 as well. Going to be interesting.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:22 pm to 91TIGER
Cloud cover here in SW LA. Temp already dropped 3 degrees in the last hour. Down to 37 now.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:22 pm to bayoubengals88
OpenSnow is pushing 11:1, so 10:1 is likely going to be very close.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:23 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Where is the best place to go skiing in Baton Rouge tomorrow, or snowboarding? LSU Hilltop Arboretum/Highland Road Park Observatory?
LSU indian mounds
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:25 pm to whiskey over ice
AccuWeather just put the low in Lafayette at 5° Tuesday night.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:26 pm to whiskey over ice
quote:
LSU indian mounds
Per unnamed sources, the ski lifts are open tomorrow.
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:26 pm to 91TIGER
quote:
Wind shifted and the sun is gone
Satellite imagery checks out. Still very sunny in BR
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:27 pm to WylieTiger
quote:
Per unnamed sources, the ski lifts are open tomorrow.
I got a 2 day pass from BREC, reasonable prices, IMO
Posted on 1/20/25 at 12:30 pm to Oates Mustache
You’re a strange guy
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