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Started By
Message
re: Curve is clearly flattening - Updated: still looking good
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:26 pm to dLSUm22
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:26 pm to dLSUm22
quote:
it does look promising. but i think Monday and Tuesday's numbers will tell the true tale...
Numbers will probably be big because of residuals from the weekend.
0
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:27 pm to Tigahs24Seven
quote:
How can you idiots downvote data collected by your snowflake liberal government?
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:27 pm to The Boat
That trend says nothing for the slowing of the spread. That's strictly hospitalization. Not everyone that has it goes to the hospital.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:28 pm to msutiger
quote:
It is clearly working. In a couple weeks, we will be ready to start slowly opening back up.
We are two weeks behind Italy!
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:28 pm to msutiger
quote:
I don’t know how anyone can argue the quarantine isn’t working or that the flattening of the curve would have happened naturally if we hadn’t done anything at all.
By definition, the curve cannot be flattened if no action is taken. That’s because “the curve” is the curve that would happen IF NO ACTION WAS TAKEN.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:29 pm to RollTide1987
I think the most effective action is the hand washing and sanitizing surfaces and hands. The doctors here have learned that if they give Chloroquine and zpac earlier it will keep patients off vent. We need to start opening business, restaurants in areas that have few cases. 
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:29 pm to Dixierebel
quote:
We need to start opening business, restaurants in areas that have few cases.
No
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:29 pm to Cosmo
Turn CNN off. Those comrades have nothing else to lie about at the moment.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:30 pm to dcw7g
Got a link to that chart? Yeah, but just would like another place to follow. Thanks.
I mean I see the source but I don't see the graph there?
Also, if they're slacking on reporting "because it's the weekend" then shame on them.
I mean I see the source but I don't see the graph there?
Also, if they're slacking on reporting "because it's the weekend" then shame on them.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:31 pm to HailToTheChiz
quote:
On the weekends the curve seemingly slows. Then starts increasing m-f
That’s the new cases curve. We’re talking hospitalization. I doubt that applies. But folks are making a good point that we need to see about 4 or 5 days of flattening not just two.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:32 pm to RollTide1987
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 7:32 am
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:32 pm to msutiger
quote:
I don’t know how anyone can argue the quarantine isn’t working or that the flattening of the curve would have happened naturally if we hadn’t done anything at all.
It is clearly working. In a couple weeks, we will be ready to start slowly opening back up.
Exactly, but end of April.
That way we can have several weeks of strong numbers as leverage to open things up.
Hopefully they start with saying all gatherings under 50 are allowed and businesses have to operate at 50% capacity.
Concerts and other things where distancing isn't possible need to remain closed.
Then at the end of May we open more shite.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:33 pm to dcw7g
I only track GA but our daily new hospitalization rate has fallen three days in a row.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:33 pm to bad93ex
quote:
We are two weeks behind Italy!
No we’re not. We probably were at one time, but we acted far sooner, and should expect to see a shorter duration peak because of that (and the fact that we have far less old folks).
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:34 pm to TheCaterpillar
Is it flattening because the Nola hospitals are full though that's the question
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:34 pm to deeprig9
How is the vent situation in Georgia? Which btw, someone here posted an article/link to somethign saying vents weren't really likely even helping?? 
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:35 pm to TheEnglishman
quote:
New cases per day is on a steady increase. I dont see how rates of hospitalization indicate anything... Cases increasing means more chance of hospitalization increasing.
This is a really stupid comment.
Rates of hospitalization are massively important. That is whole formula behind the models so we can predict impact on hospitals/healthcare system.
Cases increasing with hospitalizations increasing at a lower rate is how we reduce the panic.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:36 pm to TheEnglishman
quote:
New cases per day is on a steady increase. I dont see how rates of hospitalization indicate anything.
You can't be this dumb. Wit the lag in testing most of those case increases are from people who have already recovered
Hospitalization is more real time
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:38 pm to Dixierebel
quote:
We need to start opening business, restaurants in areas that have few cases.
I think April 30 is a decent time to slowly start opening businesses back up. Should be a lot more ventilators made and in service including N95 masks by then. At least in areas that haven't been impacted as bad as NYC, NO, etc. Even when restaurants open back up, people imo aren't gonna be flocking to them like some of us think they will, it will be a gradual return to normal. They can still keep bans over a certain number of people like maybe 100 in place.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:43 pm to dcw7g
A better metric would be new admits to the hospital, the number in your graph is showing just those currently in hospital, we are starting to discharge the earlier cases (sometime premature possibly) as well as patients dying, but I will take any good news, hopefully we have hit the peak, I am not convinced yet
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